Match Info

Date: 3 December 2020, Thursday


	Universidad Católica		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.75	6	Watch
	1.53	3.7	5.75
	1.55	3.65	5.4	Watch
	1.58	3.8	5.4
	1.57	3.95	6.2
	1.6	3.6	6
	1.59	3.92	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.4)	3.77 ↓ (4.5)	5.79 ↓ (7.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica
59.2%

Draw
24.7%

River Plate Montevideo
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

20.6%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78.7%

17.4%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Católica's form might have worsened.

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+19.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Católica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5%)

Universidad Católica - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Universidad Católica is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches River Plate is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Universidad Católica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Universidad Católica is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad Católica won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
29.11.20	LDU Portoviejo - Universidad Católica	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.11.20	River Plate Montevideo - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.11.20	Universidad Católica - Mushuc Runa	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
22.11.20	Universidad Católica - Deportes Antofagasta	5:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.11.20	El Nacional - Universidad Católica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWTWW
- River Plate Montevideo
Copa Libertadores
01.12.20	River Plate Montevideo - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.11.20	River Plate Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
28.11.20	Rosario Central - River Plate Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
28.11.20	Olimpia Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.11.20	River Plate Montevideo - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
26.11.20	River Plate Montevideo - Universidad Católica	1:2
27.08.14	River Plate Montevideo - Universidad Católica	3:0
21.08.14	Universidad Católica - River Plate Montevideo	0:1

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