Match Info

Date: 28 November 2020, Saturday


	Olimpia Asuncion		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.45	4.1	6
	1.5	4.3	5.4
	1.53	4.43	6.33
	1.36	4.5	8
	1.5	4.5	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.37)	4.31 ↓ (4.65)	6.04 ↓ (7.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Asuncion
63%

Draw
21.6%

River Plate Montevideo
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

19.9%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

79.1%

16.9%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olimpia Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Olimpia Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 and 11).

Olimpia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

River Plate is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Olimpia is certain favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Olimpia won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 23-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Olimpia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
22.11.20	Sportivo Luqueño - Olimpia Asuncion	2:2 ✺
11.11.20	Olimpia Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
08.11.20	Sol de América - Olimpia Asuncion	1:3 ✺
01.11.20	Olimpia Asuncion - San Lorenzo	3:1 ✺
24.10.20	Guaireña - Olimpia Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWWWL
- River Plate Montevideo
Copa Sudamericana
26.11.20	River Plate Montevideo - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.11.20	Athletico Paranaense - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.11.20	Deportivo Maldonado - River Plate Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.11.20	Banfield - River Plate Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
20.11.20	River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Porteño	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
11.09.20	River Plate Montevideo - Olimpia Asuncion	0:4
08.03.20	Olimpia Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo	1:1
19.10.19	River Plate Montevideo - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1
27.07.19	Olimpia Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo	2:1
14.05.19	River Plate Montevideo - Olimpia Asuncion	2:2
09.03.19	Olimpia Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo	0:0
23.10.16	Olimpia Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo	5:3

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