The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
River Plate Montevideo 77.3%
Draw 15.6%
Athletico Paranaense 7.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.6%
23.6%
12.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.8%
15.1%
20.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate Montevideo's performance.
Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletico Paranaense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-36.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate Montevideo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+13%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletico Paranaense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.5%
1.9%
11.5%
River Plate Montevideo - Athletico Paranaense Predictions
Users Predictions:
River Plate Montevideo will win
(45 of 52 users predict this - 86.54%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.26% – 95.82%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
Recent matches River Plate is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Athletico PR is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match River Plate is certain favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches River Plate won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.
Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.