Match Info

Date: 1 December 2020, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	River Plate Montevideo		Athletico Paranaense

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	13	Watch
	1.2	6.25	13.5
	1.22	6	12
	1.22	5.6	12
	1.22	6.45	14.15
	1.22	6	13
	1.26	7	15.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.51)	6.08 ↑ (4.07)	13.27 ↑ (7.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Montevideo
77.3%

Draw
15.6%

Athletico Paranaense
7.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.6%

23.6%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

21.6%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate Montevideo's performance.

Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletico Paranaense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-19%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletico Paranaense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.5%	1.9%	11.5%

River Plate Montevideo - Athletico Paranaense Predictions

Users Predictions: River Plate Montevideo will win (45 of 52 users predict this - 86.54%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.26% – 95.82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Recent matches River Plate is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Athletico PR is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match River Plate is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches River Plate won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.11.20	River Plate Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
28.11.20	Rosario Central - River Plate Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
28.11.20	Olimpia Asuncion - River Plate Montevideo	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.11.20	River Plate Montevideo - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.11.20	Athletico Paranaense - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWLLT
- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A
28.11.20	Palmeiras - Athletico Paranaense	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.11.20	Athletico Paranaense - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
21.11.20	Athletico Paranaense - Santos	1:0 ✺
18.11.20	Atlético Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense	0:2 ✺
14.11.20	Goiás - Athletico Paranaense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
24.11.20	Athletico Paranaense - River Plate Montevideo	1:1
Recopa Sudamericana
30.05.19	River Plate Montevideo - Athletico Paranaense	3:0
22.05.19	Athletico Paranaense - River Plate Montevideo	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
01.11.26	River Plate Montevideo - Tacuarembó	✺
- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A
04.11.26	Athletico Paranaense - Vasco da Gama	✺
29.10.26	Grêmio - Athletico Paranaense	✺

River Plate Montevideo - Athletico Paranaense