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Current Win Probability
Universidad Católica 61.5%
Draw 22.3%
Santiago Wanderers 16.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
68.8%
22.2%
9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.4%
21.8%
10.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Católica's form might have worsened.
Santiago Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santiago Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Católica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santiago Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
0%
80%
Universidad Católica - Santiago Wanderers Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Santiago Wanderers will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Pinares C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 2 - 0, Canales A. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, Munoz C. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, Duma J. ⚽,
Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 3.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Santiago Wanderers could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Universidad Católica have a series of guest games.
In this match Universidad Católica is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 26-21.
Including matches at home between the teams Universidad Católica won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-13.