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Current Win Probability
Universidad de Chile 40.4%
Draw 29.3%
Universidad Católica 30.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.2%
27.9%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
28.6%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Universidad de Chile - Universidad Católica Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Castellon G. (G) 17. Hormazabal F. 22. Zaldivia M. (C) 5. Ramirez N. 14. Morales M. 8. Poblete Zuniga I. E. 29. Barrera L. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 28. Arce A. 23. Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. 18. Lucero J.
1. Bernedo V. (G) 2. Gonzalez D. 19. Ampuero B. 26. Diaz J. 3. Mena E. 20. Valencia J. 7. Giani J. 10. Palavecino M. 14. Martinez J. A. 15. Cuevas C. 9. Zampedri F. (C)
Substitutes
19. Altamirano J. 20. Aranguiz C. 10. Assadi L. 2. Calderon F. 21. Diaz M. 6. Fernandez N. 34. Ramirez V. 1. Toselli C. (G) 4. Vargas D.
6. Arancibia S. 13. Canales A. 25. Corral D. 5. Farias A. 22. Gomez M. 27. Melo D. (G) 18. Rossel J. 44. Salas J. 8. Zuqui F.
Coaches
Gago F.
Garnero D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Lucero J. ⚽, Barrera L. (A),
34', Arce A. 🟨,
43', Diaz J. 🟨,
45', Cuevas C. 🟨,
45+4', Valencia J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gonzalez D. ↓, Arancibia S. ↑,
46', Mena E. ↓, Zuqui F. ↑,
68', Palavecino M. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
69', Barrera L. 🟨,
70', Canales A. 🟨,
72', Arce A. ↓, Aranguiz C. ↑,
77', Castellon G. 🟨,
79', Valencia J. ↓, Rossel J. ↑,
81', Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ↓, Assadi L. ↑,
81', Barrera L. ↓, Calderon F. ↑,
85', Morales M. 🟨,
85', Rossel J. 🟨,
89', Lucero J. ↓, Altamirano J. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Uni Católica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Universidad de Chile might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Universidad de Chile won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 0.9:0.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
U. De Chile
25
14
6
5
45:20
25
48
3
U. Catolica
24
13
3
8
51:36
15
42
Outrights of Chilean Primera Division for now
U. De Chile: 8.24% U. Catolica: 6.04%
Last Results with these Odds
Universidad de Chile - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.19%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Universidad Católica - the odds 3.23 are the expected chance of winning is 28.93%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Castellon G. (G) 
Barrera L. 
Valencia J. 
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