Match Info

Date: 12 April 2022, Tuesday


	Universidad Católica		Sporting Cristal

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6
	1.53	4.33	5.5
	1.53	4.1	5.75	Watch
	1.5	4.1	6
	1.55	4.42	6.09
	1.52	3.7	5.8	Watch
	1.54	4.15	5.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.82)	4.16 ↑ (3.52)	5.87 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica
61.5%

Draw
22.5%

Sporting Cristal
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

26.9%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

26.5%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad Católica's performance.

Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad Católica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.7%	15.2%	15.2%

Universidad Católica - Sporting Cristal Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 23 - 69.7%). Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 54% – 85.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Universidad Católica is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sporting Cristal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sporting Cristal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Universidad Católica is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
09.04.22	Universidad Católica - Deportes La Serena	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.04.22	Talleres de Córdoba - Universidad Católica	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.04.22	Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera	0:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
02.04.22	Universidad Católica - Universidad de Chile	2:1 ✺
19.03.22	OHiggins - Universidad Católica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLTWL
- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
08.04.22	Universidad César Vallejo - Sporting Cristal	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.04.22	Sporting Cristal - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
01.04.22	Sporting Cristal - Universidad San Martín	4:1 ✺
20.03.22	Carlos Stein - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
13.03.22	Sporting Cristal - Cantolao	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWTT

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