The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting Cristal 38.5%
Draw 28.5%
Alianza Lima 33%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.1%
28%
29.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
27.3%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Cristal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 4th and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 1.
Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sporting Cristal has recorded 6 wins, 11 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:15 (averaging 0.9:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sporting Cristal against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:6 goals (averaging 0.7:0.7 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Sporting Cristal
13
8
1
4
26:15
11
25
7
Alianza Lima
13
7
4
2
20:12
8
25
Last Results with these Odds
Sporting Cristal - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.13%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Alianza Lima - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.83%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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