Match Info

Date: 20 March 2022, Sunday


	Carlos Stein		Sporting Cristal

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.8	1.7
	4.5	3.7	1.61
	5.2	3.65	1.61
	4.6	3.75	1.62
	5.55	3.81	1.65
	5	3.5	1.63
	4.84	3.52	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.99 ↑ (4.64)	3.68 ↑ (3.49)	1.65 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Stein
18.6%

Draw
25.2%

Sporting Cristal
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

26.5%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

21.3%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Stein has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Stein than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Cristal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carlos Stein - Sporting Cristal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 10).

Carlos Stein is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sporting Cristal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carlos Stein could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sporting Cristal is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Carlos Stein won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Carlos Stein
Peruvian Liga 1
12.03.22	Carlos A. Mannucci - Carlos Stein	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	Carlos Stein - Alianza Atlético	0:1 ✺
27.02.22	Sport Boys - Carlos Stein	2:1 ✺
19.02.22	Carlos Stein - Universitario de Deportes	2:1 ✺
12.02.22	Ayacucho - Carlos Stein	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLWL
- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
13.03.22	Sporting Cristal - Cantolao	2:2 ✺
06.03.22	Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal	0:1 ✺
25.02.22	Sporting Cristal - Cajamarca	3:2 ✺
13.02.22	Sporting Cristal - FBC Melgar	2:2 ✺
05.02.22	Sport Huancayo - Sporting Cristal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
30.10.20	Sporting Cristal - Carlos Stein	1:0
07.03.20	Sporting Cristal - Carlos Stein	0:1

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