The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad Católica del Ecuador 57.4%
Draw 26.5%
Deportivo Cuenca 16.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.3%
27.4%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.5%
29.6%
18.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad Católica del Ecuador's performance.
Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 15.4% – 84.6%.
22. Romo R. (G) 29. Anangono G. 33. Canga L. 4. Jhon Chancellor 44. Valencia E. 8. Clavijo E. 10. Martinez F. (C) 32. Alonso M. 28. Diaz M. 30. Mejia E. 7. Fajardo J.
1. Ferrero F. (G) 23. Guevara E. (C) 28. Boolsen P. 6. Postel S. 2. Mosquera I. 19. Diaz M. 8. Vega E. 37. Arboleda C. 18. Piedra M. 11. Rivero G. 9. Leguizamon N.
Substitutes
27. Benalcazar C. 5. Cacciabue J. 12. Lara J. (G) 37. Medina C. 15. Moreno L. 24. Nazareno D. 18. Palacios B. 6. Palacios D. 23. Rodriguez A. 13. Rose E. 19. Sevillano M. 26. Yanez S.
14. Chacon J. 53. Erique Villigua Y. H. 10. Ibarra R. 29. Klimowicz M. 25. Lopez A. 7. Mancinelli L. 22. Mendez J. (G) 43. Ordonez J.
Coaches
Martinez D.
Celico J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Alonso M. 🟨,
56', Fajardo J. 🟨,
60', Leguizamon N. 🟨,
63', Rivero G. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
63', Leguizamon N. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Mejia E. ⚽, Fajardo J. (A),
66', Mejia E. ↓, Palacios D. ↑,
66', Clavijo E. ↓, Moreno L. ↑,
70', Diaz M. ↓, Mancinelli L. ↑,
70', Piedra M. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
77', Martinez F. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
77', Diaz M. ↓, Cacciabue J. ↑,
82', Fajardo J. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
82', Vega E. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 3.
Uni Católica has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Deportivo Cuenca is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Uni Católica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Uni Católica is considered a favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).
Chile
Ecuador
Peru
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Romo R. (G) 
Anangono G. 
Martinez F. (C) 
Alonso M. 
Fajardo J. 
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