Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 3

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda (Quito)

Referee: Gonzalez G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+


	SD Aucas		Deportivo Cuenca

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.4	Watch
	1.78	3.25	4
	2.05	3.2	3.35	Watch
	2.16	3.25	3.61
	2.09	3.34	3.5	Watch
	2.1	3	3.1
	2.11	3.2	3.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.79)	3.19 ↓ (3.41)	3.5 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

SD Aucas
44.8%

Draw
28.9%

Deportivo Cuenca
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

27.4%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SD Aucas's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Cuenca's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Aucas (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Deportivo Cuenca (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Deportivo Cuenca (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Deportivo Cuenca (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: SD Aucas will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Aucas (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Deportivo Cuenca (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Piedra H. (G) 37. Zova A. 16. Gustavino L. 3. Ontaneda J. (C) 28. Quinonez R. 6. Spina A. L. 29. Arroyo L. 21. Guzman P. 18. Mena A. 33. Porozo S. 7. Miranda B.	1. Ferrero F. (G) 25. Lopez A. 28. Boolsen P. 6. Postel S. 53. Erique Villigua Y. H. 20. Garcia B. 8. Vega E. 19. Diaz M. 49. Gonzalez D. 7. Mancinelli L. (C) 9. Leguizamon N.
Substitutes
11. Bolanos R. 52. Caicedo J. 1. Chaves I. (G) 14. Cuero Q. C. A. 99. Japa E. 91. Luna D. 2. Morales S. 55. Olaya V. 5. Serpa T. 89. Sosa A. 57. Vera M.	37. Arboleda C. 14. Chacon J. 23. Guevara E. 29. Klimowicz M. 16. Mejia J. 12. Minda E. (G) 2. Mosquera I. 43. Ordonez J. 18. Piedra M. 11. Rivero G.
Coaches
Araujo N.	Celico J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Leguizamon N. ↓, Rivero G. ↑,
46', Gonzalez D. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
50', Postel S. 🟨,
64', Diaz M. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,
65', Mancinelli L. ↓, Arboleda C. ↑,
66', Ontaneda J. 🟨,
67', Porozo S. ↓, Bolanos R. ↑,
67', Mena A. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
68', Arroyo L. 🟨,
73', Guzman P. ↓, Vera M. ↑,
73', Arroyo L. ↓, Japa E. ↑,
76', Garcia B. ↓, Guevara E. ↑,
78', Vera M. 🟨,
81', 0 - 1, Lopez A. ⚽, Arboleda C. (A),
82', Quinonez R. ↓, Sosa A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 2.

Deportivo Cuenca is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Deportivo Cuenca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Aucas is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Aucas	31	14	8	9	34:30	4	50

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.02.26	Guayaquil City - SD Aucas	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	SD Aucas - Mushuc Runa	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.02.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - SD Aucas	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	SD Aucas - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.12.25	SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTLWL
- Deportivo Cuenca
Copa Sudamericana
04.03.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Libertad Loja	3:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.03.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Delfín - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.02.26	Deportivo Macará - Deportivo Cuenca	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Guayaquil City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
30.11.25	SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca	2:1
25.10.25	Deportivo Cuenca - SD Aucas	1:2
Ecuadorian Copa
10.09.25	SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca	1:2 penalties
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.06.25	SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca	1:3
21.02.25	Deportivo Cuenca - SD Aucas	2:0
29.09.24	SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca	1:4
12.04.24	Deportivo Cuenca - SD Aucas	3:3

Upcoming Matches