The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad Católica del Ecuador 33.7%
Draw 31%
LDU Quito 35.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.2%
28.6%
36.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
28.2%
35.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - LDU Quito Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 2.
Uni Católica has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by LDU Quito have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Uni Católica has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:29 (averaging 1.6:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Uni Católica against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 14:13 goals (averaging 2:1.9 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.22%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
LDU Quito - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.19%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.