Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 2

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)

Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Teleamazonas, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Mushuc Runa		Universidad Católica del Ecuador

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.15	Watch
	2.92	3.3	2.22
	3.05	3.48	2.3
	3.01	3.53	2.23	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.15
	3.02	3.37	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.44)	3.36 ↑ (3.34)	2.22 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mushuc Runa
30.8%

Draw
27.5%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mushuc Runa's form might have worsened.

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad Católica del Ecuador's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Formento R. (C) 26. Peralta K. 44. Gamboa M. 6. Negro B. 33. Hernandez J. 23. Lemos L. 5. Davila E. 10. Mina F. 77. Velasco K. 9. Carrillo R. 30. Ibarra R.	22. Romo R. (G) 29. Anangono G. 33. Canga L. 4. Jhon Chancellor 19. Sevillano M. 30. Mejia E. 8. Clavijo E. (C) 5. Cacciabue J. 32. Alonso M. 7. Fajardo J. 18. Palacios B.
Substitutes
99. Angulo C. 14. Caicedo E. 12. Carabali F. 19. Carcelen J. 50. Cusme J. 11. Dibble N. 2. Flor F. 18. Gonzalez J. 7. Minda T. 42. Pabon W. (G) 17. Pico O. 8. Zambrano A.	28. Diaz M. 12. Lara J. (G) 10. Martinez F. 37. Medina C. 51. Mina J. 15. Moreno L. 24. Nazareno D. 23. Rodriguez A. 13. Rose E. 17. Troya R. 44. Valencia E. 26. Yanez S.
Coaches
Velez P.	Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Ibarra R. ↓, Angulo C. ↑,
38', Lemos L. 🟨,
41', Anangono G. 🟨,
41', Mina F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Alonso M. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
67', Lemos L. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
67', Carrillo R. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
67', Mina F. ↓, Minda T. ↑,
70', Gamboa M. ↓, Carabali F. ↑,
73', Diaz M. 🟨,
79', Cacciabue J. ↓, Moreno L. ↑,
79', Clavijo E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
80', Palacios B. ↓, Rose E. ↑,
82', Diaz M. 🟨,
87', Sevillano M. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
88', Rose E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 1.

Mushuc Runa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 1.2:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mushuc Runa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1.2:2.4).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	U. Catolica	31	14	9	8	52:29	23	51

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.02.26	SD Aucas - Mushuc Runa	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Vinotinto - Mushuc Runa	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Manta - Mushuc Runa	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Técnico Universitario - Mushuc Runa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTWLT
- Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Copa Libertadores
12.02.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Juventud de Las Piedras	3:5 penalties ✺
05.02.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.01.26	Sporting Cristal - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	3:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.12.25	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
18.12.25	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.07.25	Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:1
09.03.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Mushuc Runa	1:1
30.08.24	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Mushuc Runa	5:1
22.05.24	Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:1
25.11.23	Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:2
09.06.23	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Mushuc Runa	3:2
08.07.22	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Mushuc Runa	2:1

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