Match Info

Date: 24 September 2021, Friday


	Universidad Central		Atlético Venezuela

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3	3.25
	2.12	3.05	3.1
	2.02	3.1	3.45
	2.04	2.96	3.51
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	2.08	3.4	3.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.02)	3.1 ↓ (3.24)	3.34 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Central
43.7%

Draw
29.2%

Atlético Venezuela
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

19.1%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Atlético Venezuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad Central that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Venezuela than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Venezuela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Universidad Central - Atlético Venezuela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Universidad Central could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Universidad Central will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Universidad Central won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad Central won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
16.09.21	Monagas - Universidad Central	2:1 ✺
08.09.21	Universidad Central - Caracas	1:1 ✺
03.09.21	Mineros de Guayana - Universidad Central	1:1 ✺
29.08.21	Metropolitanos - Universidad Central	1:1 ✺
20.08.21	Universidad Central - LALA FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LTTTW
- Atlético Venezuela
Venezuelan Primera Division
17.09.21	Atlético Venezuela - Mineros de Guayana	2:1 ✺
12.09.21	Metropolitanos - Atlético Venezuela	2:1 ✺
05.09.21	Monagas - Atlético Venezuela	1:1 ✺
28.08.21	Atlético Venezuela - Caracas	0:2 ✺
15.08.21	LALA FC - Atlético Venezuela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
06.08.21	Atlético Venezuela - Universidad Central	1:0
18.06.21	Universidad Central - Atlético Venezuela	2:2
30.04.21	Atlético Venezuela - Universidad Central	1:1

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