Match Info

Date: 12 September 2021, Sunday


	Metropolitanos		Atlético Venezuela

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.83	3.8	3.25
	1.82	3.7	3.3
	1.89	3.75	3.15
	1.88	3.73	3.19
	1.88	3.4	3.5
	1.92	3.62	3.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.38)	3.67 ↑ (3)	3.34 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metropolitanos
48.3%

Draw
24.6%

Atlético Venezuela
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.8%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

22.7%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metropolitanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metropolitanos's performance.

Atlético Venezuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Venezuela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metropolitanos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Venezuela than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Venezuela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Metropolitanos - Atlético Venezuela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Metropolitanos is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Atlético Venezuela is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Venezuela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Metropolitanos will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Metropolitanos won 3 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Metropolitanos won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metropolitanos FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
04.09.21	LALA FC - Metropolitanos	1:3 ✺
29.08.21	Metropolitanos - Universidad Central	1:1 ✺
19.08.21	Metropolitanos - Mineros de Guayana	3:0 ✺
13.08.21	Monagas - Metropolitanos	0:0 ✺
04.08.21	Metropolitanos - Caracas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWTT
- Atlético Venezuela
Venezuelan Primera Division
05.09.21	Monagas - Atlético Venezuela	1:1 ✺
28.08.21	Atlético Venezuela - Caracas	0:2 ✺
15.08.21	LALA FC - Atlético Venezuela	1:1 ✺
06.08.21	Atlético Venezuela - Universidad Central	1:0 ✺
30.07.21	Mineros de Guayana - Atlético Venezuela	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
23.07.21	Atlético Venezuela - Metropolitanos	4:1
02.06.21	Metropolitanos - Atlético Venezuela	1:1
16.04.21	Atlético Venezuela - Metropolitanos	3:2
09.02.20	Atlético Venezuela - Metropolitanos	2:1
03.11.19	Atlético Venezuela - Metropolitanos	0:0
11.05.19	Metropolitanos - Atlético Venezuela	0:1
30.09.18	Atlético Venezuela - Metropolitanos	2:1

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