Match Info

Date: 28 August 2021, Saturday


	Atlético Venezuela		Caracas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.05
	3.3	3.2	1.95
	2.7	2.9	2.55
	2.55	2.67	2.57
	3.2	2.9	2.2
	2.68	3.32	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (4.84)	3.02 ↓ (3.5)	2.31 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Venezuela
30.7%

Draw
30.1%

Caracas
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

25.9%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

16%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Venezuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Venezuela's performance.

Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caracas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Venezuela than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caracas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Venezuela - Caracas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Atlético Venezuela is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Caracas in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Atlético Venezuela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Caracas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Atlético Venezuela won 1 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 7-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Venezuela won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 0-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Venezuela
Venezuelan Primera Division
15.08.21	LALA FC - Atlético Venezuela	1:1 ✺
06.08.21	Atlético Venezuela - Universidad Central	1:0 ✺
30.07.21	Mineros de Guayana - Atlético Venezuela	1:2 ✺
23.07.21	Atlético Venezuela - Metropolitanos	4:1 ✺
17.07.21	Atlético Venezuela - Monagas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWWWL
- Caracas FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
22.08.21	Caracas - Monagas	4:2 ✺
14.08.21	Caracas - Mineros de Guayana	2:0 ✺
04.08.21	Metropolitanos - Caracas	1:1 ✺
29.07.21	LALA FC - Caracas	0:2 ✺
24.07.21	Caracas - Universidad Central	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
10.07.21	Caracas - Atlético Venezuela	3:1
20.05.21	Atlético Venezuela - Caracas	0:4
29.09.19	Atlético Venezuela - Caracas	0:2
07.04.19	Caracas - Atlético Venezuela	2:2
28.10.18	Atlético Venezuela - Caracas	0:1
18.05.18	Caracas - Atlético Venezuela	0:2
04.10.17	Atlético Venezuela - Caracas	0:1

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