Match Info

VENEZUELA: LIGA FUTVE - ROUND 22

Date: 6 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de la UCV (Caracas)

Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)


	Universidad Central		Hermanos Colmenares

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2	3.05	3.4
	2.08	3.02	3.86
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.02	3.32	3.58	Watch
	2.1	3.05	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.37)	3.11 ↑ (3.01)	3.46 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Central
44.2%

Draw
29.4%

Hermanos Colmenares
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

30.8%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

29.4%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad Central's performance.

Hermanos Colmenares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad Central that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hermanos Colmenares than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Universidad Central - Hermanos Colmenares Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Universidad Central will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gonzales C. (G) 32. Noguera H. 3. Villanueva R. 2. Graterol J. 15. Gonzalez K. 20. Martell L. 10. Ocanto A. 18. Ruiz L. 36. Infante J. 28. Rodriguez A. 71. Rivera J.	22. Teran L. (G) 20. Rivas R. 16. Deusa J. 4. Manzanilla J. 23. Ruiz M. 31. Pernia M. 14. Colmenarez G. 13. Yendis J. 9. Mena Y. 19. Gonzalez F. 30. Collazos J.
Substitutes
19. Cardozo J. 77. Castro Hoyos C. D. 16. De Sousa D. 21. Gonzalez J. 6. Lepervanche J. 11. Maldonado A. 24. Mendoza K. 22. Reyes J. (G) 9. Santos C. 5. Umpierrez G. 4. Velasquez W.	3. Alvarado J. 35. Caballero F. 1. Curiel L. (G) 17. Magallan C. 5. Moreno J. 24. Osorio J. 6. Rodriguez D. 10. Rodriguez D. 34. Urdaneta A.
Coaches
Sasso D.	Vielma L.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 13).

Universidad Central is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hermanos Colmenares has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hermanos Colmenares could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hermanos Colmenares have a series of home games.

Universidad Central will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Universidad Central won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad Central won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.07.23	Universidad Central - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:1 ✺
22.07.23	Estudiantes de Mérida - Universidad Central	2:0 ✺
14.07.23	Universidad Central - Zamora	5:0 ✺
07.07.23	Carabobo - Universidad Central	2:1 ✺
24.06.23	Rayo Zuliano - Universidad Central	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWLT
- CD Hermanos Colmenares
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.07.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:1 ✺
23.07.23	Portuguesa Acarígua - Hermanos Colmenares	1:0 ✺
14.07.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Rayo Zuliano	1:3 ✺
02.07.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Metropolitanos	0:1 ✺
23.06.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Mineros de Guayana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
07.04.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Universidad Central	1:1
14.08.22	Hermanos Colmenares - Universidad Central	2:0
10.04.22	Universidad Central - Hermanos Colmenares	0:1
Venezuelan Segunda Division
10.12.20	Hermanos Colmenares - Universidad Central	1:0

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