Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 6

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de la UCV (Caracas)


	Universidad Central		Portuguesa Acarígua

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.2	3.6
	1.95	3.15	3.91
	2.01	3.2	3.95	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.8
	1.94	3.08	3.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.2)	3.15 ↓ (3.19)	3.82 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Central
46.7%

Draw
29.2%

Portuguesa Acarígua
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

29%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Portuguesa Acarígua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Acarígua than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Universidad Central - Portuguesa Acarígua Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Universidad Central will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Morales L. (G) 28. Ruiz M. 4. Velasquez W. 19. Simarra A. 27. Carrillo D. 16. De Sousa D. 6. Sole F. 2. Silva K. (C) 7. Cuesta J. 8. Zapata J. 11. Bolivar J.	22. Reyes J. (G) 66. Urpin C. 27. Moreno Quero L. 13. Peraza E. 6. Trujillo A. 5. Soto J. (C) 18. Montana C. 20. Perez J. 9. Canete J. 28. Gonzalez J. 19. Marco Bustillo
Substitutes
57. Cermeno C. 24. Cumana Y. 12. Gonzalez C. (G) 47. Granko A. 14. Mendoza K. 21. Ortiz C. 39. Salcedo S. 18. Sarli R. 13. Schiavone G. (G) 10. Sosa S.	25. Bullones Y. 23. Linarez D. 21. Mendoza R. 26. Oliveros A. 29. Pena W. 7. Rojas R. 8. Salega G. 30. Suarez C. 1. Velasquez B. (G) 17. Zuniga K.
Coaches
Sasso D.	Gonzalez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Canete J. ⚽, Montana C. (A),
23', 0 - 2, Canete J. ⚽, Gonzalez J. (A),
26', Velasquez W. ↓, Cermeno C. ↑,
30', Marco Bustillo ↓, Mendoza R. ↑,
37', Silva K. 🟨,
38', Urpin C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Sasso D. 🟨,
46', Zapata J. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
48', Peraza E. 🟨,
52', Cuesta J. (Penalty Awarded),
54', 1 - 2, Bolivar J. ⚽, Cuesta J. (A),
59', Perez J. ↓, Salega G. ↑,
59', Urpin C. ↓, Zuniga K. ↑,
59', Soto J. ↓, Suarez C. ↑,
66', Simarra A. 🟨,
67', Mendoza R. ↓, Linarez D. ↑,
67', Trujillo A. 🟨,
71', Ruiz M. ↓, Granko A. ↑,
71', De Sousa D. ↓, Sosa S. ↑,
74', 1 - 3, Linarez D. ⚽, Salega G. (A),
78', Sole F. ↓, Mendoza K. ↑,
79', Suarez C. 🟨,
83', Mendoza K. 🟨,
87', Salega G. 🟨,
88', 2 - 3, Sosa S. ⚽, Bolivar J. (A),
90', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
90+5', Sosa S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Universidad Central may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Universidad Central has had a series of away games.

Universidad Central could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Universidad Central won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Portuguesa	11	4	5	2	14:12	2	17
8	Universidad Central	11	4	3	4	12:11	1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Portuguesa Acarígua - the odds 3.22 are the expected chance of winning is 28.8%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
Copa Libertadores
27.05.26	Libertad Asuncion - Universidad Central	0:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
23.05.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Universidad Central	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.05.26	Rosario Central - Universidad Central	4:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
15.05.26	Deportivo La Guaira - Universidad Central	0:0 ✺
12.05.26	Universidad Central - Deportivo La Guaira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WLLTT
- Portuguesa Acarígua
Venezuelan Primera Division
23.05.26	Portuguesa Acarígua - Deportivo La Guaira	0:2 ✺
17.05.26	Portuguesa Acarígua - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:0 ✺
13.05.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Portuguesa Acarígua	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Deportivo La Guaira - Portuguesa Acarígua	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Portuguesa Acarígua - Universidad Central	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
02.05.26	Portuguesa Acarígua - Universidad Central	1:1
25.04.26	Portuguesa Acarígua - Universidad Central	3:0
03.08.25	Universidad Central - Portuguesa Acarígua	2:0
31.05.25	Portuguesa Acarígua - Universidad Central	1:3
11.05.25	Universidad Central - Portuguesa Acarígua	2:2
22.02.25	Portuguesa Acarígua - Universidad Central	0:1
21.09.24	Portuguesa Acarígua - Universidad Central	1:1

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