The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carabobo 56%
Draw 25.5%
Universidad Central 18.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.7%
29%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
29%
26.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carabobo's performance.
Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carabobo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad Central could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
66.7%
33.3%
Carabobo - Universidad Central Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Universidad Central will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
22. Bruera L. (C) 21. Gonzalez A. 6. Bahachille A. 3. Fuentes J. 8. Perez J. 30. Mendoza S. 16. Lopez F. 23. Meza D. 10. Orozco Y. 7. Tortolero E. 24. Ramirez E.
1. Morales L. (G) 28. Ruiz M. 3. Ramirez R. 4. Velasquez W. 24. Cumana Y. 17. Rodriguez V. 57. Cermeno C. 21. Ortiz C. (C) 47. Granko A. 16. De Sousa D. 9. Murillo Y.
Substitutes
14. Berios J. 28. Bilbao J. 5. Castillo E. 15. Cova M. 13. Duran J. 2. Guaramato M. 19. Martinez L. 32. Neira E. 18. Obando J. 17. Oliveros F. 9. Riasco J. 12. Roa K. (G)
20. Berroteran Y. 27. Carrillo D. 15. Davis R. 30. Gonzalez A. 12. Gonzalez C. (G) 38. Hernandez S. 23. Hernandez Y. 5. Martinez L. 14. Mendoza K. 18. Sarli R. 10. Sosa S.
Coaches
Farias D.
Sasso D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Orozco Y. ⚽, Perez J. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Granko A. ⚽, Ruiz M. (A),
29', 2 - 1, Meza D. ⚽, Orozco Y. (A),
39', 2 - 2, Rodriguez V. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Guaramato M. 🟥,
58', Ruiz M. 🟥,
61', 3 - 2, Ramirez E. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Granko A. ↓, Davis R. ↑,
63', Cermeno C. ↓, Mendoza K. ↑,
69', Ortiz C. ↓, Hernandez Y. ↑,
72', Tortolero E. ↓, Berios J. ↑,
72', Meza D. ↓, Obando J. ↑,
73', Orozco Y. ↓, Castillo E. ↑,
77', Cumana Y. 🟨,
77', Ramirez E. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
79', De Sousa D. ↓, Sarli R. ↑,
79', Murillo Y. ↓, Berroteran Y. ↑,
80', Ramirez R. 🟨,
81', Obando J. 🟨,
84', 4 - 2, Martinez L. ⚽, Castillo E. (A),
86', Lopez F. ↓, Cova M. ↑,
88', Rodriguez V. 🟨,
89', Obando J. 🟨,
90+4', Berroteran Y. 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 1-1. Aggregate: 1-3. 2nd leg.
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
Universidad Central is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Carabobo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Carabobo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Carabobo
11
5
3
3
12:8
4
18
8
Universidad Central
11
4
3
4
12:11
1
15
Last Results with these Odds
Carabobo - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.69%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Bruera L. (C) 
Gonzalez A. 
Berios J. 
Bilbao J. 
Gonzalez A. 
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