Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 15 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Mansiche (Trujillo)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4


	Universidad César Vallejo		Always Ready

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.55	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.5
	2.65	3.4	2.5	Watch
	2.7	3.45	2.68
	2.7	3.45	2.47
	2.62	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.73	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (1.78)	3.38 ↓ (3.67)	2.51 ↓ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad César Vallejo
34.9%

Draw
27.7%

Always Ready
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

25%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

25%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad César Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad César Vallejo's form might have worsened.

Always Ready has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Always Ready's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad César Vallejo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Always Ready than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Always Ready, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Universidad César Vallejo - Always Ready Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Always Ready will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grados C. (G) 32. Madrid J. 5. Deneumostier A. 6. Perea G. 28. Santibanez S. 13. Barreto G. 22. Flores F. 27. Ramirez A. 7. Barreto O. 20. Noronha O. 17. Mena Y. (C)	1. Baroja A. (G) 2. Medina D. 3. Vaca P. 18. Caicedo L. (C) 5. Suarez M. 14. Carabali J. 21. Robson Matheus 13. Cuellar H. 10. Terrazas A. 11. Rodriguez D. 9. Tanque W.
Substitutes
19. Ascues C. 88. Ballon J. 44. Benavente C. 33. Benitez E. 23. Da Silva P. 30. Falcon Camacho W. S. (G) 29. Loyola N. 24. Olaya S. 12. Rabines M. (G) 10. Velez J. 8. Ysique F.	31. Abastoflor C. 38. Alanoca A. 19. Briceno J. 8. Del Valle A. 15. Flores Gutierrez W. 7. Herrera J. 27. Martinez J. 39. Paniagua E. 40. Paniagua M. 99. Rodriguez E. (G) 6. Taborga E. 30. Zenteno Rojas A.
Coaches
Salas G.	Torres F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Mena Y. ⚽, Ramirez A. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Caicedo L. ⚽, Terrazas A. (A),
43', Madrid J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 2, Tanque W. ⚽, Vaca P. (A),
61', Rodriguez D. ↓, Del Valle A. ↑,
61', Barreto G. ↓, Ballon J. ↑,
61', Flores F. ↓, Benavente C. ↑,
66', Benavente C. 🟨,
72', Mena Y. ↓, Olaya S. ↑,
72', Ramirez A. ↓, Loyola N. ↑,
72', Barreto O. ↓, Ysique F. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Deneumostier A. ⚽, Perea G. (A),
84', Robson Matheus ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
90+4', Medina D. ↓, Alanoca A. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches César Vallejo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Always Ready is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

César Vallejo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches César Vallejo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad César Vallejo
Peruvian Liga 1
11.05.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Los Chankas	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Independiente Medellín	1:5 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
03.05.24	Cienciano - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1 ✺
29.04.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Sporting Cristal	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
25.04.24	Always Ready - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLTWL
- Club Always Ready
Bolivian Division Profesional
11.05.24	Always Ready - Blooming	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.24	Always Ready - Defensa y Justicia	3:0 ✺
25.04.24	Always Ready - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
10.04.24	Defensa y Justicia - Always Ready	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
06.04.24	Universitario de Vinto - Always Ready	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
25.04.24	Always Ready - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0

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