Match Info

PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)

Referee: Lozano S. (Per)


	Cienciano		Universidad César Vallejo

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	5	Watch
	1.58	3.6	4.75
	1.62	4.1	4.9	Watch
	1.61	3.8	5.55
	1.57	3.8	5
	1.62	4	5	Watch
	1.63	3.9	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.64)	3.89 ↑ (3.75)	5 (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cienciano
57.6%

Draw
23.8%

Universidad César Vallejo
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

24.8%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

24.1%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Universidad César Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Cienciano - Universidad César Vallejo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). César Vallejo will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 7. Estrada J. 6. Fuentes P. 4. Portales J. 3. Benitez M. 14. Torrejon C. (C) 17. Guivin Tanta J. 22. Rodriguez A. 55. Ramua A. 11. Romagnoli J. 21. Garces C.	1. Grados C. (G) 5. Deneumostier A. 6. Perea G. 3. Ganoza M. 32. Madrid J. 8. Ysique F. 10. Velez J. 13. Barreto G. 14. Cabello C. 17. Mena Y. 23. Da Silva P.
Substitutes
27. Ayarza A. 23. Cana D. (G) 9. Carando D. 8. La Torre D. 20. Lecaros A. 5. Mifflin L. 35. Paredes G. 18. Ramirez S. 10. Ritacco G.	7. Barreto O. 44. Benavente C. 21. Carvallo J. (G) 22. Flores F. 24. Olaya S. 38. Perez D. 27. Ramirez A. 28. Santibanez S.
Coaches
Ibanez Holzmann O. M.	Salas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Mena Y. ⚽, Velez J. (A),
44', Velez J. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Fuentes P. ⚽, Benitez M. (A),
45+4', Cabello C. ↓, Olaya S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Fuentes P. ↓, Mifflin L. ↑,
64', Torrejon C. 🟨,
68', Estrada J. 🟨,
68', Ramua A. ↓, Ritacco G. ↑,
68', Rodriguez A. ↓, La Torre D. ↑,
79', Portales J. 🟨,
81', Romagnoli J. ↓, Lecaros A. ↑,
87', Deneumostier A. 🟨,
90+4', Madrid J. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cienciano won 3.

Cienciano is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches César Vallejo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

César Vallejo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cienciano is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Cienciano won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 21-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Cienciano won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1
27.04.24	Cusco - Cienciano	2:0 ✺
19.04.24	Cienciano - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:2 ✺
12.04.24	Sport Huancayo - Cienciano	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Cienciano - Cajamarca	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	FBC Melgar - Cienciano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWTL
- Universidad César Vallejo
Peruvian Liga 1
29.04.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Sporting Cristal	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
25.04.24	Always Ready - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
20.04.24	ADT Tarma - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Comerciantes Unidos	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
10.04.24	Independiente Medellín - Universidad César Vallejo	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
03.07.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Cienciano	0:3
14.05.23	Cienciano - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1
09.07.22	Cienciano - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0
04.02.22	Universidad César Vallejo - Cienciano	0:0
17.08.21	Universidad César Vallejo - Cienciano	0:1
02.10.20	Universidad César Vallejo - Cienciano	1:0
Peruvian Liga 2
12.08.18	Universidad César Vallejo - Cienciano	2:3

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