Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 7 May 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de El Alto (El Alto)

Referee: Klein R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 3


	Always Ready		Defensa y Justicia

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.75	7	Watch
	1.52	4	6
	1.53	4	6
	1.55	4.01	6.4
	1.51	4.02	6.15
	1.5	3.9	6	Watch
	1.57	3.98	5.67	Watch
	1.5	3.95	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.4)	3.95 ↓ (4.57)	6.18 ↓ (7.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Always Ready
61.2%

Draw
23.6%

Defensa y Justicia
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

20.6%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

20%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Always Ready has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Always Ready's form might have worsened.

Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Always Ready than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Always Ready, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	10%	40%

Always Ready - Defensa y Justicia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Always Ready will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Always Ready: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baroja A. (G) 2. Medina D. 3. Vaca P. 18. Caicedo L. 5. Suarez M. 14. Carabali J. 21. Robson Matheus 13. Cuellar H. 10. Terrazas A. 11. Rodriguez D. 9. Tanque W.	22. Fiermarin C. (G) 4. Tripichio N. (C) 21. Ramos S. 6. Burgos E. 26. Caceres D. 8. Lopez J. 3. Soto A. 33. Palavecino N. 10. Bogarin R. 27. Herrera L. 29. Fernandez N.
Substitutes
31. Abastoflor C. 38. Alanoca A. 19. Briceno J. 8. Del Valle A. 15. Flores Gutierrez W. 7. Herrera J. 27. Martinez J. 39. Paniagua E. 40. Paniagua M. 99. Rodriguez E. (G) 6. Taborga E. 30. Zenteno Rojas A.	28. Aguilera E. 17. Alanis G. 23. Bologna E. (G) 14. Cannavo E. 36. Echevarria F. 9. Godoy S. L. 30. Lopez K. 24. Marco F. 16. Molinas A. 18. Romero F. 35. Schamine B. 7. Zapata Y.
Coaches
Torres F.	Vaccari J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Rodriguez D. ⚽, Terrazas A. (A),
13', Lopez J. 🟨,
21', Herrera L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Tanque W. ⚽, Medina D. (A),
50', 3 - 0, Cuellar H. ⚽, Terrazas A. (A),
55', Lopez J. ↓, Alanis G. ↑,
56', Bogarin R. ↓, Lopez K. ↑,
56', Caceres D. ↓, Cannavo E. ↑,
67', Rodriguez D. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
67', Burgos E. 🟨,
71', Ramos S. 🟨,
74', Palavecino N. ↓, Schamine B. ↑,
74', Fernandez N. ↓, Echevarria F. ↑,
78', Carabali J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
78', Vaca P. ↓, Taborga E. ↑,
84', Tanque W. ↓, Del Valle A. ↑,
84', Terrazas A. ↓, Paniagua M. ↑,
89', Schamine B. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Always Ready is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Always Ready won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Always Ready
Copa Sudamericana
25.04.24	Always Ready - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
10.04.24	Defensa y Justicia - Always Ready	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
06.04.24	Universitario de Vinto - Always Ready	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.04.24	Always Ready - Independiente Medellín	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
31.03.24	Always Ready - Independiente Petroleros	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTLWL
- Defensa y Justicia
Copa Sudamericana
25.04.24	Independiente Medellín - Defensa y Justicia	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.04.24	Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	2:1 penalties ✺
16.04.24	Defensa y Justicia - Newells Old Boys	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
10.04.24	Defensa y Justicia - Always Ready	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
06.04.24	San Lorenzo - Defensa y Justicia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
10.04.24	Defensa y Justicia - Always Ready	1:1

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