Match Info

PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Mansiche (Trujillo)

Referee: Ordonez E. (Per)


	Universidad César Vallejo		Los Chankas

	1	X	2
	1.67	4	4.5	Watch
	1.6	3.75	4.4
	1.65	4.1	4.65	Watch
	1.57	4.08	5.41
	1.66	3.98	4.72
	1.6	3.9	4.6
	1.62	3.94	4.75	Watch
	1.65	3.95	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.6)	3.96 ↑ (3.95)	4.7 ↓ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad César Vallejo
56.9%

Draw
23.4%

Los Chankas
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

23.5%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

24.3%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad César Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Los Chankas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Universidad César Vallejo - Los Chankas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grados C. (G) 6. Perea G. 32. Madrid J. 5. Deneumostier A. 3. Ganoza M. 10. Velez J. (C) 13. Barreto G. 8. Ysique F. 27. Ramirez A. 17. Mena Y. 23. Da Silva P.	30. Ferreyra D. (G) 4. Mogollon E. 5. Becerra K. 15. Chavez A. 2. Gamarra C. 13. Ruidias M. 10. Casquete A. 24. Mejia C. (C) 7. Manzaneda J. 11. Lopez C. 21. Ledesma A.
Substitutes
7. Barreto O. 44. Benavente C. 21. Carvallo J. (G) 22. Flores F. 29. Loyola N. 20. Noronha O. 24. Olaya S. 38. Perez D. 28. Santibanez S.	8. Carabano D. 3. Lujan J. 22. Murialdo A. 28. Rengifo D. 14. Robles A. 19. Sanchez G. 1. Sotillo M. (G) 18. Takeuchi O. 20. Temoche D.
Coaches
Salas G.	Bossi P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Velez J. ⚽,
32', Grados C. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Lopez C. (Pen),
41', Ganoza M. 🟨,
43', Manzaneda J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mogollon E. 🟨,
74', Ramirez A. ↓, Noronha O. ↑,
74', Ruidias M. ↓, Takeuchi O. ↑,
81', Ysique F. ↓, Benavente C. ↑,
82', Ledesma A. ↓, Murialdo A. ↑,
82', Gamarra C. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
87', Da Silva P. ↓, Olaya S. ↑,
90+4', Manzaneda J. ↓, Sanchez G. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 10).

César Vallejo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Los Chankas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Los Chankas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match César Vallejo is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches César Vallejo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams César Vallejo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad César Vallejo
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Independiente Medellín	1:5 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
03.05.24	Cienciano - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1 ✺
29.04.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Sporting Cristal	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
25.04.24	Always Ready - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
20.04.24	ADT Tarma - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTWLL
- CD Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 1
04.05.24	Los Chankas - Cusco	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Los Chankas	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Los Chankas - Sport Huancayo	6:0 ✺
15.04.24	Cajamarca - Los Chankas	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Los Chankas - FBC Melgar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
05.08.18	Los Chankas - Universidad César Vallejo	0:0
22.04.18	Universidad César Vallejo - Los Chankas	2:0
24.09.17	Los Chankas - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1
04.06.17	Universidad César Vallejo - Los Chankas	5:2

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