The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad San Martín 41.4%
Draw 28.6%
Carlos A. Mannucci 30%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.3%
27.3%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
27.6%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Carlos A. Mannucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos A. Mannucci than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Universidad San Martín - Carlos A. Mannucci Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
49. Valladares G. (G)
8. Acosta F.
14. Alvarez L.
4. Aparicio K. (C)
31. Caballero E.
34. Montalva A.
10. Munoz J.
9. Murillo J.
11. Nunez J.
99. Rodriguez G.
3. Salazar V.
Substitutes
5. Aguirre J.
36. Chicoma D.
27. Fernandez R.
25. Flores V.
29. Jimenez J.
90. Malpartida M.
30. Portugal B.
22. Rios J.
1. Vargas J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Sanchez S. ⚽,
11', Munoz J. 🟨,
14', Pena K. 🟨,
18', Sanchez V. 🟥,
29', Montalva A. 🟨,
37', Ampuero A. ↓, Cuba R. ↑,
38', Alvarez L. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
38', Montalva A. ↓, Flores V. ↑,
41', Lopez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 1 - 1, ⚽,
64', 🟨,
83', Caballero E. 🟨,
88', Aguirre J. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni San Martín won 1.
Uni San Martín has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Mannucci shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Mannucci may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Uni San Martín is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Uni San Martín has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:23 (averaging 1:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Uni San Martín against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 6:7 goals (averaging 1.2:1.4 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Universidad San Martín - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.35%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Valladares G. (G) 
Acosta F. 
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