The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad San Martín 41.9%
Draw 27.6%
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 30.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.4%
25.1%
19.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.9%
22.8%
17.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad San Martín's form might have worsened.
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Universidad de Huánuco's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (+19%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad San Martín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Universidad San Martín - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ynamine P. (G) 5. Ampuero A. 18. Arteaga A. 19. Chumpitaz I. 70. Lopez C. 10. Oliva E. 4. Otavio Gut 24. Pena K. 17. Reyes J. 16. Sanchez S. 8. Sanchez V.
12. Diaz W. (G) 7. Casquete A. 35. Cavero S. 18. Cuero J. 19. Dominguez J. 90. Gonzales J. 25. Montoya C. 30. Ortega F. 6. Palomino R. 10. Sernaque J. 16. Valverde M.
Substitutes
7. Arroe J. 29. Ismodes D. 12. Mayta Boza L. L. (G) 32. Mendoza F. 90. Sanchez K. 23. Vargas R. 13. Vega C. 39. Vera F.
15. Angulo T. 29. Labrin V. 17. Mautino A. 4. Mogollon E. 23. Mosquera C. (G) 67. Paico K. 5. Peral P. 11. Vasquez Ortega E. O. 9. Zeta H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Lopez C. ⚽,
11', Palomino R. 🟨,
21', Otavio Gut 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Lopez C. (Penalty Awarded),
41', Valverde M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gonzales J. ↓, Angulo T. ↑,
47', Chumpitaz I. 🟨,
55', Palomino R. ↓, Peral P. ↑,
56', Dominguez J. ↓, Zeta H. ↑,
65', Sernaque J. ↓, Vasquez Ortega E. O. ↑,
70', Peral P. 🟨,
75', 🟨,
75', Oliva E. ↓, Arroe J. ↑,
75', Chumpitaz I. ↓, Vargas R. ↑,
76', Sanchez V. ↓, Sanchez K. ↑,
78', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Ortega F. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni San Martín won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Uni San Martín holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Uni San Martín has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:15 (averaging 1.1:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Uni San Martín against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 4:8 goals (averaging 1:2 per game).
Watch
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Ynamine P. (G) 
Lopez C. 
Otavio Gut 
Sanchez V. 
Casquete A. 
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