The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad San Martín 33.3%
Draw 30.9%
Deportivo Municipal 35.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.4%
30.9%
35.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35%
32.4%
34%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Deportivo Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Silva J. (G) 8. Arroe J. 7. Bazan H. (C) 5. Cano J. 19. Chumpitaz I. 32. Cornejo S. 2. Gomez J. 29. Ismodes D. 13. Rossi E. 30. Soto J. 39. Vera F.
1. Nicosia F. (C) 23. Acosta J. 5. Cavagna F. 11. Galvez S. 8. Inga J. 13. Moyano D. 25. Panduro M. 32. Pumpido F. 26. Reyes D. 21. Romero J. 14. Yanez A.
Substitutes
36. Castillo P. 1. Cavagna A. (G) 35. Gonzales E. 11. Matzuda M. 20. Reyes D. 3. Roque G. 17. Salem J. 23. Vargas R.
35. Ayaucan S. 38. Baluarte N. 17. Di Leo T. 18. Ferreyra K. 12. Fuentes A. (G) 31. Jara F. 10. Lopez D. 7. Villagra C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
16', Bazan H. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Romero J. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Romero J. ⚽,
38', Rossi E. 🟨,
41', Ismodes D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Reyes D. 🟨,
52', 1 - 2, Vera F. ⚽,
59', 2 - 2, Arroe J. ⚽,
60', Acosta J. ↓, Di Leo T. ↑,
60', Panduro M. ↓, Villagra C. ↑,
61', Inga J. 🟨,
68', Moyano D. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
68', Pumpido F. ↓, Calero A. ↑,
75', Vera F. ↓, Roque G. ↑,
75', Cornejo S. ↓, Salem J. ↑,
79', Salem J. 🟨,
82', Bazan H. ↓, Gonzales E. ↑,
82', Gomez J. ↓, Vergara H. ↑,
84', Reyes D. 🟨,
87', Ismodes D. ↓, Matzuda M. ↑,
Preview
Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Championship Group: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Universidad San Martín won 1.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Municipal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Universidad San Martín won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 14-20.
Including matches at home between the teams Universidad San Martín won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-8.
Watch
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Silva J. (G) 
Arroe J. 
Nicosia F. (C) 
Lopez D. 
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