The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad de Chile 45.9%
Draw 25%
Everton de Viña 29.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.5%
27.1%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.9%
27.3%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Everton de Viña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Everton de Viña's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton de Viña than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Everton de Viña, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Universidad de Chile - Everton de Viña Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Castellon G. (G) 17. Hormazabal F. 3. Lichnovsky I. 22. Zaldivia M. 5. Ramirez N. 20. Aranguiz C. (C) 15. Reinhart T. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 19. Altamirano J. 23. Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. 11. Eduardo Vargas
1. Gonzalez I. (G) 8. Soto L. 37. Vidal V. 24. Oyarzun D. (C) 14. Baeza N. 21. Berrios B. 7. Moya J. 26. Hernandez J. 10. Medina A. 11. Ramos Aviles E. M. 40. Montiel N.
Substitutes
21. Diaz M. 6. Fernandez N. 40. Gutierrez C. 18. Lucero J. 8. Poblete Zuniga I. E. 32. Reyna G. 26. Riquelme M. 1. Toselli C. (G) 4. Vargas D.
9. Alfaro J. 34. Bustamante E. (G) 6. Charrupi G. 15. Fernandez V. 28. Leon A. 29. Martinez B. 2. Opazo Lara O. 20. Ovalle J. 30. Palacios C.
Coaches
Gago F.
Ribonetto W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Montiel N. 🟨,
25', Vidal V. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Eduardo Vargas ⚽, Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hernandez J. ↓, Alfaro J. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Montiel N. ⚽, Ramos Aviles E. M. (A),
65', Baeza N. ↓, Palacios C. ↑,
65', Montiel N. ↓, Ovalle J. ↑,
67', Reinhart T. ↓, Poblete Zuniga I. E. ↑,
67', Guerrero Pena M. G. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
68', Moya J. 🟨,
73', Aranguiz C. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
73', Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
73', Moya J. ↓, Opazo Lara O. ↑,
77', Hormazabal F. 🟨,
79', Altamirano J. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
81', Berrios B. 🟨,
83', Soto L. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
89', Diaz M. 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 1-0.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 2.
Universidad de Chile has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Everton is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Universidad de Chile may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Universidad de Chile carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Universidad de Chile has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:14 (averaging 1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Universidad de Chile against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:5 goals (averaging 1.2:0.8 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Universidad de Chile - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 49.54%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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Castellon G. (G) 
Reinhart T. 
Medina A. 
Charrupi G. 
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