The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad de Chile 52.7%
Draw 24.3%
Everton de Viña 23%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57%
23%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.3%
22.5%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Everton de Viña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad de Chile, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton de Viña than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Universidad de Chile - Everton de Viña Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Castellon G. (G) 3. Lichnovsky I. 22. Zaldivia M. 5. Ramirez N. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 20. Aranguiz C. (C) 15. Reinhart T. 14. Morales M. 28. Arce A. 11. Eduardo Vargas 23. Vasquez Gonzalez I. A.
1. Gonzalez I. (G) 8. Soto L. 37. Vidal V. 24. Oyarzun D. (C) 14. Baeza N. 9. Alfaro J. 21. Berrios B. 7. Moya J. 11. Ramos Aviles E. M. 10. Medina A. 40. Montiel N.
Substitutes
29. Barrera L. 21. Diaz M. 6. Fernandez N. 17. Hormazabal F. 18. Lucero J. 8. Poblete Zuniga I. E. 32. Reyna G. 9. Rivero O. 1. Toselli C. (G)
6. Charrupi G. 5. Gonzalez R. 25. Kirkman E. (G) 4. Magallanes H. 29. Martinez B. 2. Opazo Lara O. 20. Ovalle J. 30. Palacios C. 19. Vega V.
Coaches
Gago F.
Ribonetto W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
12', Moya J. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Eduardo Vargas ⚽, Guerrero Pena M. G. (A),
45', Montiel N. ↓, Ovalle J. ↑,
45+4', 2 - 0, Eduardo Vargas ⚽, Guerrero Pena M. G. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', Alfaro J. 🟨,
57', 3 - 0, Arce A. ⚽, Guerrero Pena M. G. (A),
59', Baeza N. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
59', Vidal V. ↓, Magallanes H. ↑,
62', Zaldivia M. ↓, Hormazabal F. ↑,
63', Morales M. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
63', Aranguiz C. ↓, Barrera L. ↑,
68', Fernandez N. 🟨,
69', Martinez B. 🟨,
71', Medina A. 🟨,
73', Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ↓, Rivero O. ↑,
75', Alfaro J. ↓, Palacios C. ↑,
75', Moya J. ↓, Charrupi G. ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Palacios C. ⚽, Ovalle J. (A),
81', 4 - 1, Eduardo Vargas ⚽, Guerrero Pena M. G. (A),
81', Arce A. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
86', Soto L. 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 2.
Universidad de Chile has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Everton has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Everton could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Universidad de Chile carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Universidad de Chile has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:15 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Universidad de Chile against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:6 goals (averaging 1.1:0.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
U. De Chile
25
14
6
5
45:20
25
48
4
Everton
25
11
6
8
41:31
10
39
Outrights of Chilean Primera Division for now
U. De Chile: 8.24% Everton: 0.1%
Last Results with these Odds
Universidad de Chile - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 57.05%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.