The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Everton de Viña 56.9%
Draw 23.6%
Deportes La Serena 19.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.7%
23.8%
22.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.2%
24.9%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Everton de Viña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton de Viña than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+2%)
Everton de Viña - Deportes La Serena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez I. (G) 8. Soto L. 37. Vidal V. 24. Oyarzun D. (C) 14. Baeza N. 9. Alfaro J. 21. Berrios B. 7. Moya J. 11. Ramos Aviles E. M. 10. Medina A. 30. Palacios C.
31. Tapia J. (G) 34. Rasso I. 5. Alarcon L. 33. Delgado R. 21. Gutierrez B. 14. Chamorro F. 4. Mac Allister F. 26. Dinamarca F. 23. Marin M. 2. Figueroa G. 10. Vargas J. (C)
Substitutes
6. Charrupi G. 15. Fernandez V. 5. Gonzalez R. 25. Kirkman E. (G) 28. Leon A. 4. Magallanes H. 29. Martinez B. 2. Opazo Lara O. 20. Ovalle J.
6. Diaz S. 8. Escalante G. 16. Gutierrez J. 9. Henriquez A. 1. Lanzillotta F. (G) 28. Orellana J. 7. Oroz A. 29. Pinto M. 11. Rubio D.
Coaches
Ribonetto W.
Gutierrez F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Chamorro F. ⚽,
14', Chamorro F. 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, Alfaro J. ⚽, Berrios B. (A),
32', Gutierrez F. 🟨,
33', Baeza N. 🟨,
37', Dinamarca F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', Alarcon L. 🟨,
54', Chamorro F. ↓, Escalante G. ↑,
56', 1 - 2, Marin M. ⚽, Figueroa G. (A),
63', Gutierrez B. 🟨,
66', Vargas J. ↓, Rubio D. ↑,
69', Palacios C. ↓, Ovalle J. ↑,
69', Ramos Aviles E. M. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Martinez B. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Baeza N. ↓, Fernandez V. ↑,
82', Figueroa G. ↓, Oroz A. ↑,
82', Marin M. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
83', Soto L. 🟨,
86', Vidal V. ↓, Charrupi G. ↑,
86', Soto L. ↓, Opazo Lara O. ↑,
89', 3 - 2, Medina A. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Rasso I. 🟨,
90+1', Gonzalez I. 🟨,
90+9', Gutierrez B. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Everton won 3.
Everton has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Deportes La Serena shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Everton may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Everton for this game.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Everton has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:9 (averaging 1.9:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Everton against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:5 goals (averaging 2.3:1.7 per game).
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Gonzalez I. (G) 
Medina A. 
Rasso I. 
Charrupi G. 
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