Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 23

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Portada (La Serena)

Referee: Riquelme M. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportes La Serena		Universidad de Chile

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.86	Watch
	3.90	3.70	1.83
	3.7	3.45	1.92	Watch
	3.72	3.79	2.02
	3.74	3.74	1.89	Watch
	3.65	3.75	1.95
	3.93	3.73	1.93	Watch
	3.55	3.5	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↓ (3.95)	3.66 ↑ (3.4)	1.91 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes La Serena
25.2%

Draw
25.7%

Universidad de Chile
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

26.5%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

25.6%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Chile Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Tapia J. (G) 21. Gutierrez B. 34. Rasso I. 33. Delgado R. 26. Dinamarca F. 4. Mac Allister F. 8. Escalante G. 23. Marin M. 14. Chamorro F. 10. Vargas J. (C) 9. Henriquez A.	25. Castellon G. (G) 17. Hormazabal F. 5. Ramirez N. 22. Zaldivia M. 6. Fernandez N. 32. Reyna G. 15. Reinhart T. 28. Arce A. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 11. Eduardo Vargas (C) 18. Lucero J.
Substitutes
6. Diaz S. 16. Gutierrez J. 1. Lanzillotta F. (G) 28. Orellana J. 7. Oroz A. 3. Perez M. 29. Pinto M. 11. Rubio D. 20. Velasquez M.	19. Altamirano J. 21. Diaz M. 3. Lichnovsky I. 8. Poblete Zuniga I. E. 26. Riquelme M. 9. Rivero O. 31. Tamayo B. 1. Toselli C. (G) 23. Vasquez Gonzalez I. A.
Coaches
Gutierrez F.	Gago F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Delgado R. 🟨,
29', Eduardo Vargas 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Reyna G. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Arce A. ⚽,
50', Henriquez A. ↓, Rubio D. ↑,
55', 0 - 2, Hormazabal F. ⚽, Guerrero Pena M. G. (A),
59', Arce A. 🟨,
72', Vargas J. ↓, Oroz A. ↑,
72', Dinamarca F. ↓, Gutierrez J. ↑,
74', Fernandez N. ↓, Lichnovsky I. ↑,
74', Lucero J. ↓, Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ↑,
82', Marin M. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
82', Chamorro F. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
89', Guerrero Pena M. G. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 3, Lichnovsky I. ⚽, Guerrero Pena M. G. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 0.

Deportes La Serena is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Universidad de Chile has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Universidad de Chile may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Universidad de Chile is considered a favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 9:33. (average 0.6:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.4:1.9).

Outrights of Chilean Primera Division for now

U. De Chile: 9.15%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	U. De Chile	23	12	6	5	35:19	16	42
10	La Serena	23	7	9	7	34:38	-4	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division
06.09.26	Deportes La Serena - Ñublense	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Unión La Calera - Deportes La Serena	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Deportes La Serena - Cobresal	3:3 ✺
14.08.26	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes La Serena	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes La Serena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWTWT
- Universidad de Chile
Chilean Primera Division
05.09.26	Universidad de Chile - Coquimbo Unido	4:2 ✺
30.08.26	Universidad de Concepción - Universidad de Chile	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Universidad de Chile - Colo-Colo	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Deportes Limache - Universidad de Chile	1:3 ✺
09.08.26	Universidad de Chile - Palestino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Copa de la Liga
02.05.26	Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Chile	0:5
Chilean Primera Division
05.04.26	Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena	4:0
Chilean Copa de la Liga
20.03.26	Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena	2:2
Chilean Primera Division
28.09.25	Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Chile	1:1
17.04.25	Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena	3:1
09.10.22	Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Chile	1:2
07.05.22	Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena	2:0

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