Match Info

Date: 24 July 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Monumental (Lima)


	Universitario de Deportes		Carlos Stein

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	12	Watch
	1.28	5	8.5
	1.29	5.1	8.5
	1.28	4.9	8.8
	1.34	5.26	8.81
	1.27	4.6	10	Watch
	1.36	4.38	9.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.53)	4.89 ↑ (3.95)	9.44 ↑ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitario de Deportes
71.2%

Draw
19%

Carlos Stein
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

23.2%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

22.5%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universitario de Deportes's performance.

Carlos Stein has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlos Stein might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universitario de Deportes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Stein than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlos Stein could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Universitario de Deportes - Carlos Stein Predictions

Users Predictions: Universitario de Deportes will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Universitario de Deportes is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carlos Stein is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Universitario de Deportes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Universitario de Deportes is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Universitario de Deportes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Universitario de Deportes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1
16.07.22	Universidad San Martín - Universitario de Deportes	0:4 ✺
10.07.22	Universitario de Deportes - Cantolao	1:1 ✺
03.07.22	Universitario de Deportes - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
26.06.22	Sport Huancayo - Universitario de Deportes	2:0 ✺
29.05.22	FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTWLL
- FC Carlos Stein
Peruvian Liga 1
17.07.22	Carlos Stein - Ayacucho	2:2 ✺
10.07.22	ADT Tarma - Carlos Stein	1:0 ✺
02.07.22	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Carlos Stein	3:0 ✺
26.06.22	Carlos Stein - Cienciano	2:2 ✺
18.06.22	Deportivo Municipal - Carlos Stein	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
19.02.22	Carlos Stein - Universitario de Deportes	2:1
24.11.20	Universitario de Deportes - Carlos Stein	0:2
15.02.20	Carlos Stein - Universitario de Deportes	1:3

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