The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
FBC Melgar 40.3%
Draw 30%
Universitario de Deportes 29.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.8%
28.5%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
28%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universitario de Deportes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Caceda C. (C) 33. Lazo M. 23. Escobar J. 5. Deneumostier A. 27. Cabanillas N. 8. Guzman L. 24. Tandazo W. 6. Salas J. 45. Zegarra M. 11. Vidales J. 10. Quagliata N.
25. Vargas M. (G) 24. Polo A. (C) 2. Fara C. 3. Riveros W. 33. Inga C. 27. Carabali J. 8. Fertoli H. 6. Castillo J. 17. Concha J. 20. Valera A. 19. Flores E.
Substitutes
20. Bernaola G. 21. Cabezudo J. (G) 16. Caceres J. 9. Cuesta B. 80. D'Arrigo J. 22. Erustes P. 14. Gamero Y. 36. Nunez P. 4. Ramos A.
10. Calcaterra H. 29. Corzo A. 90. Gassama S. 99. Miguel Silveira 23. Murrugarra J. 77. Reyna B. 11. Rivera J. 1. Romero D. (G) 4. Santamaria A.
Coaches
Rondelli M.
Rabanal J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Zegarra M. ⚽, Quagliata N. (A),
5', 2 - 0, Vidales J. ⚽, Zegarra M. (A),
8', 2 - 1, Concha J. ⚽, Carabali J. (A),
15', Salas J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Riveros W. 🟨,
61', Riveros W. ↓, Santamaria A. ↑,
61', Carabali J. ↓, Calcaterra H. ↑,
61', Flores E. ↓, Reyna B. ↑,
73', Guzman L. ↓, D'Arrigo J. ↑,
73', Vidales J. ↓, Cuesta B. ↑,
73', Fertoli H. ↓, Miguel Silveira ↑,
78', Reyna B. 🟨,
79', Castillo J. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
86', Zegarra M. ↓, Bernaola G. ↑,
86', Cabanillas N. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
90+2', Quagliata N. ↓, Erustes P. ↑,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Melgar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Melgar: Bordacahar C.
(Knee Injury)
De Santis J.
(Red Card)
Jesus Alcantar
(Red Card)
Orzan H.
(Injury)
Zanelatto F.
(Injury)
There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Alzugaray L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Perez Guedes M.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Melgar: Zegarra M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Di Benedetto M.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Melgar won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.7:1.2).
Peru
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Caceda C. (C) 
Escobar J. 
Guzman L. 
Salas J. 
Quagliata N. 
Vargas M. (G) 
Carabali J. 
Gassama S. 
Miguel Silveira 
Rabanal J. 
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