Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 15

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba)

Referee: Rodriguez D. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Universitario de Vinto		Real Tomayapo

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.10	5.00	Watch
	1.53	4.00	4.60
	1.58	3.75	4.30
	1.54	4.25	5.64
	1.5	4.56	5.55	Watch
	1.49	3.95	5.55
	1.58	4.17	5.09	Watch
	1.52	4.10	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.57)	4.11 ↑ (3.97)	5.05 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitario de Vinto
59.7%

Draw
22.2%

Real Tomayapo
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

22.7%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

21.9%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Vinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Real Tomayapo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Universitario de Vinto - Real Tomayapo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Uni de Vinto will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Careaga J. (G) 76. Esdras Mendoza 17. Torrico D. (C) 34. Jara A. 70. Lazarte J. 6. Gomez M. 21. Cuellar G. 8. Camacho Almanza D. A. 24. Rodriguez H. 79. Blanco O. 90. Saavedra D.	1. Cardenas L. (G) 15. Guerra J. 19. Robson 24. Robles D. 32. Suarez R. 17. Bejarano M. (C) 7. Arabe C. 28. Wayar D. 21. Ramallo D. 18. Eguez R. 64. Senzano J.
Substitutes
5. Alcocer P. 37. Cabrera Suarez L. 22. Calicho J. 30. Cuadiay Fernandez M. 66. Cuestas A. 7. Dorrego H. 11. Gomez J. S. 28. Jose Pinto 1. Poveda B. (G) 29. Saucedo J. 50. Vargas D. 19. Veizaga J.	22. Adorno C. (G) 55. Barbieri G. 25. Cuellar Orti R. 42. Gareca C. 8. Mamani J. 6. Melgar V. 11. Nouet F. 27. Ruan Costa
Coaches
Flores W.	Alfonso J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Wayar D. ↓, Cuellar Orti R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Rodriguez H. ↓, Calicho J. ↑,
57', Saavedra D. ↓, Veizaga J. ↑,
63', Suarez R. ↓, Nouet F. ↑,
63', Guerra J. ↓, Mamani J. ↑,
64', Nouet F. 🟨,
65', 0 - 1, Arabe C. ⚽,
71', Camacho Almanza D. A. ↓, Gomez J. S. ↑,
71', Blanco O. ↓, Dorrego H. ↑,
81', Gomez M. 🟨,
83', Arabe C. ↓, Barbieri G. ↑,
87', Esdras Mendoza ↓, Saucedo J. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 3.

Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.

Uni de Vinto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Uni de Vinto is the team to beat.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Vinto won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Universitario de Vinto	20	5	3	12	26:39	-13	18
15	Tomayapo	20	4	4	12	15:39	-24	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Vinto
Bolivian Division Profesional
06.08.26	Universitario de Vinto - Real Potosí	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	Universitario de Vinto - Guabirá	1:1 ✺
27.07.26	GVCD San José - Universitario de Vinto	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Always Ready - Universitario de Vinto	4:0 ✺
08.07.26	Real Oruro - Universitario de Vinto	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- Real Tomayapo
Bolivian Division Profesional
07.08.26	Real Tomayapo - Real Oruro	1:2 ✺
04.08.26	Guabirá - Real Tomayapo	3:0 ✺
31.07.26	Real Tomayapo - ABB	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Nacional Potosí - Real Tomayapo	4:1 ✺
19.07.26	Blooming - Real Tomayapo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
12.09.25	Universitario de Vinto - Real Tomayapo	1:0
18.04.25	Real Tomayapo - Universitario de Vinto	1:1
18.10.24	Universitario de Vinto - Real Tomayapo	2:1
22.05.24	Real Tomayapo - Universitario de Vinto	0:1
18.11.23	Universitario de Vinto - Real Tomayapo	0:1
19.05.23	Real Tomayapo - Universitario de Vinto	0:2
09.10.22	Universitario de Vinto - Real Tomayapo	1:1

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