Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 6

Date: 8 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Jesús Bermúdez (Oruro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56


	Real Oruro		Universitario de Vinto

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.8	2.82	Watch
	1.93	3.80	2.95
	2.08	3.65	2.92	Watch
	2.19	4	2.94
	1.93	4.37	3.17	Watch
	2.12	3.6	2.85
	2.06	3.86	3.08	Watch
	2.08	3.65	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.82)	3.84 ↓ (4.26)	2.95 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oruro
44.8%

Draw
24%

Universitario de Vinto
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

22%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

21.5%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oruro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Oruro's form might have worsened.

Universitario de Vinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oruro than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Oruro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universitario de Vinto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Real Oruro - Universitario de Vinto Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Real Oruro will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Uni de Vinto will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni de Vinto: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Hunacota Terceros R. (G) 15. Castellon D. 88. Quinonez J. 29. Padilha Hallysson 31. Balceras Cuellar R. J. 21. Huayhuata I. 6. Rivera A. 65. Bravo Adan A. F. (C) 10. Quinonez A. 97. Porozo D. 19. Vallejos Y.	1. Poveda B. (G) 21. Cuellar G. 5. Alcocer P. 34. Jara A. (C) 28. Jose Pinto 8. Camacho Almanza D. A. 24. Rodriguez H. 22. Calicho J. 29. Saucedo J. 9. Llano R. 10. Torrico J.
Substitutes
1. Arancibia A. (G) 48. Berrios J. 18. Calle Y. 33. Gatti F. 32. Mendez R. 50. Montenegro J. 8. Ribera C. 77. Siles C. 3. Soleto W. 26. Tifner H. 37. Velez J. 23. Villegas Y.	27. Calderon B. 12. Careaga J. (G) 30. Cuadiay Fernandez M. 66. Cuestas A. 7. Dorrego H. 15. Gil F. 6. Gomez M. 70. Lazarte J. 4. Lopez B. 90. Saavedra D. 17. Torrico D.
Coaches
Colinas N.	Flores W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', Rodriguez H. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Quinonez A. ⚽, Bravo Adan A. F. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Calicho J. ⚽, Torrico J. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', Jose Pinto 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Quinonez J. ⚽,
65', Saucedo J. ↓, Lazarte J. ↑,
65', Jose Pinto ↓, Dorrego H. ↑,
65', Cuellar G. 🟨,
66', 3 - 1, Porozo D. ⚽, Bravo Adan A. F. (A),
72', Rivera A. ↓, Villegas Y. ↑,
73', Calicho J. 🟨,
76', Quinonez A. 🟥,
77', Balceras Cuellar R. J. ↓, Velez J. ↑,
83', 4 - 1, Bravo Adan A. F. ⚽, Porozo D. (A),
84', Bravo Adan A. F. 🟨,
88', Porozo D. ↓, Montenegro J. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 12)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Oruro won 3.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Real Oruro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Real Oruro is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Real Oruro won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 2.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Oruro won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Real Oruro	20	6	3	11	32:50	-18	21
14	Universitario de Vinto	20	5	3	12	26:39	-13	18

Last Results with these Odds

Universitario de Vinto - the odds 3.51 are the expected chance of winning is 26.65%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDT Real Oruro
Bolivian Division Profesional
12.05.26	Aurora - Real Oruro	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Real Potosí - Real Oruro	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Real Oruro - The Strongest	2:3 ✺
23.04.26	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Real Oruro	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Real Oruro - Blooming	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWLLT
- Universitario de Vinto
Bolivian Division Profesional
01.06.26	Universitario de Vinto - Aurora	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	Universitario de Vinto - Bolívar	3:2 ✺
12.05.26	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Universitario de Vinto	0:2 ✺
04.05.26	Universitario de Vinto - Blooming	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Vinto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.03.26	Universitario de Vinto - Real Oruro	1:1
06.03.26	Real Oruro - Universitario de Vinto	4:3
Bolivian Copa Pacena
29.10.25	Real Oruro - Universitario de Vinto	3:0
03.10.25	Universitario de Vinto - Real Oruro	1:2
Bolivian Division Profesional
22.09.25	Universitario de Vinto - Real Oruro	2:2
05.05.25	Real Oruro - Universitario de Vinto	2:0

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