Match Info

Copa Pacena - Round 6

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56


	Universitario de Vinto		Guabirá

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.70	3.50
	1.91	3.60	3.00	Watch
	1.79	4.20	3.59
	2.14	3.82	2.95	Watch
	1.77	3.65	3.45
	1.87	4.39	3.49	Watch
	1.82	3.80	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.13)	3.88 ↑ (3.72)	3.35 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitario de Vinto
49.1%

Draw
23.6%

Guabirá
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

25%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

24.8%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Vinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universitario de Vinto's performance.

Guabirá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universitario de Vinto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Universitario de Vinto - Guabirá Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni de Vinto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Poveda B. (G) 21. Cuellar G. 27. Calderon B. 28. Jose Pinto 70. Lazarte J. 6. Gomez M. 22. Calicho J. (C) 24. Rodriguez H. 79. Blanco O. 32. Pasadore F. 7. Dorrego H.	13. Arauz J. (G) 97. Gil S. 6. Anez C. (C) 2. Barro J. 29. Masskooni N. 77. Thiago Ribeiro 37. Chavez T. 7. Peredo G. 15. Rafinha 91. Abrego V. 11. Garzon S.
Substitutes
37. Cabrera Suarez L. 12. Careaga J. (G) 83. Chavez S. 66. Cuestas A. 76. Esdras Mendoza 9. Llano R. 26. Mendoza S. 15. Postigo P. 90. Saavedra D. 50. Vargas D. 80. Vasquez F. 19. Veizaga J.	18. Aguilera M. 28. Baigorria Y. 25. Coronado Corcuy R. D. (G) 27. Corrales R. 35. Da Silva D. 17. Maciel M. 8. Moreno A. 14. Parada J. 21. Portillo M. 4. Ruiz A. 22. Tellez M.
Coaches
Barral A.	Eguez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Garzon S. ⚽,
17', Pasadore F. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Anez C. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Calicho J. ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Rodriguez H. ⚽, Pasadore F. (A),
53', Calderon B. 🟨,
56', Dorrego H. 🟨,
56', Peredo G. ↓, Tellez M. ↑,
57', Abrego V. ↓, Maciel M. ↑,
57', Maciel M. 🟨,
65', Pasadore F. ↓, Esdras Mendoza ↑,
67', Chavez T. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
68', Rafinha ↓, Parada J. ↑,
70', Anez C. 🟨,
79', 3 - 1, Esdras Mendoza ⚽, Gomez M. (A),
81', Masskooni N. ↓, Da Silva D. ↑,
84', Dorrego H. ↓, Llano R. ↑,
84', Blanco O. ↓, Saavedra D. ↑,
90+2', Cuellar G. ↓, Mendoza S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 0.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Uni de Vinto holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Uni de Vinto has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:24 (averaging 1:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Uni de Vinto against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 10:6 goals (averaging 1.4:0.9 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Guabirá - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 31.39%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Vinto
Bolivian Copa Pacena
26.09.26	Universitario de Vinto - Oriente Petrolero	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Aurora - Universitario de Vinto	4:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
16.09.26	Blooming - Universitario de Vinto	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Universitario de Vinto - Independiente Petroleros	3:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
09.09.26	Universitario de Vinto - The Strongest	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLTWL
- Guabirá
Bolivian Copa Pacena
26.09.26	The Strongest - Guabirá	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Guabirá - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
16.09.26	Guabirá - Aurora	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Always Ready - Guabirá	6:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
08.09.26	Oriente Petrolero - Guabirá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Copa Pacena
18.08.26	Guabirá - Universitario de Vinto	2:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
31.07.26	Universitario de Vinto - Guabirá	1:1
Club Friendly
20.02.26	Guabirá - Universitario de Vinto	2:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
03.08.25	Guabirá - Universitario de Vinto	3:0
Bolivian Copa Pacena
26.07.25	Universitario de Vinto - Guabirá	2:2
30.04.25	Guabirá - Universitario de Vinto	2:0
Bolivian Division Profesional
28.03.25	Universitario de Vinto - Guabirá	4:2

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