The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universitario de Vinto 53.5%
Draw 24%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 22.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56.9%
22.8%
20.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.7%
21.8%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Vinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
San Antonio Bulo Bulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universitario de Vinto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Antonio Bulo Bulo than the current prediction. (-3%)
Universitario de Vinto - San Antonio Bulo Bulo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Careaga J. (G) 76. Esdras Mendoza 50. Vargas D. 28. Jose Pinto 70. Lazarte J. 24. Rodriguez H. 6. Gomez M. 79. Blanco O. 17. Torrico D. (C) 9. Llano R. 32. Pasadore F.
1. Giossa L. (G) 31. Bustos R. 26. Romero C. 15. Machado C. 14. Yanarico L. 44. Ricaldez C. 10. Terrazas A. (C) 45. Villamil S. 32. Campos A. 11. Preciado C. 18. Menacho R.
Substitutes
37. Cabrera Suarez L. 27. Calderon B. 21. Cuellar G. 7. Dorrego H. 34. Jara A. 26. Mendoza S. 1. Poveda B. (G) 90. Saavedra D. 80. Vasquez F. 19. Veizaga J. 2. Visalla G.
21. Ballivian R. 19. De Lima M. 17. Guerra S. 12. Guzman L. (G) 40. Joao Pedro 33. Magallanes J. 13. Medina A. 6. Mercado Diego 8. Merida K. 25. Sanchez H. 20. Vargas R. 30. Villamil J.
Coaches
Barral A.
Bolivia
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
1', Pasadore F. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Rodriguez H. (Penalty Awarded),
38', Pasadore F. ↓, Cuellar G. ↑,
38', Villamil S. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
39', Gomez M. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Blanco O. ⚽, Rodriguez H. (A),
45+7', Romero C. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bustos R. ↓, De Lima M. ↑,
46', Menacho R. ↓, Ballivian R. ↑,
58', Preciado C. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
64', Blanco O. ↓, Dorrego H. ↑,
64', Llano R. ↓, Saavedra D. ↑,
67', Esdras Mendoza 🟨,
75', Machado C. ↓, Guerra S. ↑,
75', Lazarte J. ↓, Cabrera Suarez L. ↑,
76', Rodriguez H. ↓, Jara A. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Medina A. ⚽, Terrazas A. (A),
89', Dorrego H. 🟨,
90+6', Guerra S. 🟨,
90+7', Esdras Mendoza 🟨,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 15th in the Division Profesional (Relegation) and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Uni de Vinto may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Uni de Vinto carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Uni de Vinto has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:14 (averaging 1.1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Uni de Vinto against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 8:7 goals (averaging 1.6:1.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
SA Bulo Bulo
23
7
3
13
24:43
-19
24
13
Universitario de Vinto
23
6
3
14
30:45
-15
21
Last Results with these Odds
Universitario de Vinto - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.88%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.