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Current Win Probability
Universitario de Vinto 38.4%
Draw 25.8%
Oriente Petrolero 35.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.6%
27%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.1%
26.6%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Vinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Oriente Petrolero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Universitario de Vinto - Oriente Petrolero Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Poveda B. (G) 21. Cuellar G. 28. Jose Pinto 5. Alcocer P. 70. Lazarte J. 22. Calicho J. (C) 6. Gomez M. 24. Rodriguez H. 32. Pasadore F. 7. Dorrego H. 79. Blanco O.
1. Torrez Suarez A. W. (C) 24. Velasco M. 3. Mizael Monteiro 5. Virreira J. 6. Rodriguez D. 11. Vaca L. 30. Berdecio J. 77. Herrera J. 40. Perdomo O. 9. Roskopf M. 91. Nacif N.
Substitutes
37. Cabrera Suarez L. 27. Calderon B. 12. Careaga J. (G) 66. Cuestas A. 9. Llano R. 26. Mendoza S. 15. Postigo P. 90. Saavedra D. 50. Vargas D. 80. Vasquez F. 19. Veizaga J. 2. Visalla G.
21. Aponte M. 13. Bernal J. (G) 17. Galindo S. 44. Lopez F. 20. Lovera J. 10. Mamani M. 90. Pena A. 19. Perez F. 42. Roca D. 8. Siles O. 28. Velasco J.
Coaches
Barral A.
Florentin G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Nacif N. ↓, Pena A. ↑,
30', 1 - 0, Jose Pinto ⚽, Dorrego H. (A),
31', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
40', Alcocer P. ↓, Calderon B. ↑,
42', Gomez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Berdecio J. ↓, Lovera J. ↑,
46', Perdomo O. ↓, Siles O. ↑,
46', Rodriguez D. ↓, Roca D. ↑,
57', Virreira J. 🟨,
64', Roskopf M. ↓, Galindo S. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Pasadore F. ⚽, Cuellar G. (A),
70', Gomez M. ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
70', Blanco O. ↓, Veizaga J. ↑,
71', Calderon B. 🟨,
83', Pasadore F. ↓, Visalla G. ↑,
83', Dorrego H. ↓, Saavedra D. ↑,
90+5', Veizaga J. 🟨,
90+11', Velasco M. 🟨,
90+12', 3 - 0, Llano R. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 2.
Uni de Vinto is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Oriente Petrolero have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Oriente Petrolero could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Uni de Vinto has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:10 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Uni de Vinto against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:4 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Oriente Petrolero - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.41%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Bolivia
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Poveda B. (G) 
Pasadore F. 
Dorrego H. 
Blanco O. 
Mizael Monteiro 
Florentin G. 
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