Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova)

Referee: Sabotic J. (Lux)

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1


	Universitatea Craiova		Maribor

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.8	3.6	Watch
	1.83	3.6	3.7
	1.8	3.75	4
	1.85	3.75	4.09
	1.83	3.71	3.99	Watch
	1.84	3.74	3.93	Watch
	1.8	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2)	3.73 ↑ (3.3)	3.9 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitatea Craiova
51.1%

Draw
25%

Maribor
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

28.2%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

28.7%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitatea Craiova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Maribor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69%	13.8%	17.2%

Universitatea Craiova - Maribor Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Uni Craiova will win (votes: 20 - 69%). Maribor will win (votes: 5 - 17.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Craiova: 52.2% – 85.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Popescu L. (G) 2. Vladoiu S. 26. Zajkov G. 25. Sierra G. 11. Bancu N. (C) 4. Cretu A. 8. Oshima T. 7. Paradela L. 5. Mekvabishvili A. 28. Mitrita A. 19. Koljic E.	1. Jug A. (G) 5. Sirvys P. 50. Vidmar L. 6. Mbondo B. 22. Milec M. (C) 20. Repas Z. 15. Repas J. 10. Barisic M. 72. Ilicic J. 8. Bozic M. 13. Beugre E.
Substitutes
15. Badelj J. 10. Baiaram S. 31. Bana S. 27. Barbu D. 23. Capatina M. 37. Danciu M. 36. Gaspar F. 14. Houri L. 9. Ivan A. 33. Lung S. Jr. (G) 17. Mora C. 12. Ndong B.	81. Bergsen M. (G) 35. Bilac M. 21. Borys K. 11. Bourles R. 48. Dizdarevic A. 7. Feta B. 16. Grlic N. 17. Jakupovic A. 55. Lorber M. 59. Pridgar S. (G) 12. Sikosek G. 4. Vrhovec B.
Coaches
Galca C.	Simundza A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Koljic E. 🟨,
30', Ilicic J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Paradela L. ↓, Ivan A. ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Mitrita A. ⚽,
61', Barisic M. ↓, Bourles R. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Ilicic J. ⚽,
69', Bourles R. 🟨,
72', Mekvabishvili A. ↓, Baiaram S. ↑,
72', Cretu A. ↓, Houri L. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Sierra G. ⚽,
75', Bozic M. ↓, Jakupovic A. ↑,
78', Mitrita A. 🟨,
82', 2 - 2, Jakupovic A. ⚽,
89', 🟨,
89', Vladoiu S. ↓, Ndong B. ↑,
90', Ilicic J. ↓, Lorber M. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 2, Koljic E. ⚽, Mora C. (A),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Recent matches Universitatea Craiova is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maribor is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Universitatea Craiova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Universitatea Craiova have a series of guest games.

Recently Maribor have a series of home games.

In this match Universitatea Craiova is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Universitatea Craiova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Universitatea Craiova
Romanian SuperLiga
28.07.24	CFR Cluj - Universitatea Craiova	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Maribor - Universitatea Craiova	2:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
20.07.24	Universitatea Craiova - UTA Arad	4:2 ✺
12.07.24	Hermannstadt - Universitatea Craiova	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.06.24	St. Gallen - Universitatea Craiova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWTL
- NK Maribor
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Maribor - Universitatea Craiova	2:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
21.07.24	Maribor - Domžale	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
18.07.24	Maribor - Botev Plovdiv	2:2 ✺
11.07.24	Botev Plovdiv - Maribor	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.24	Maribor - CSKA 1948 Sofia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Maribor - Universitatea Craiova	2:0

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