Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Ljudski vrt (Maribor)

Referee: Kristoffersen M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 1


	Maribor		Universitatea Craiova

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.63	Watch
	2.37	3.25	2.7
	2.45	3.3	2.8	Watch
	2.56	3.25	2.82
	2.53	3.23	2.78	Watch
	2.38	3.25	2.7
	2.44	3.42	2.73	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.4)	3.28 ↑ (3.2)	2.73 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maribor
37.7%

Draw
28.3%

Universitatea Craiova
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

28.9%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

28%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maribor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Universitatea Craiova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	19.2%	30.8%

Maribor - Universitatea Craiova Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Maribor will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). Uni Craiova will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maribor: 27.4% – 68.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jug A. (G) 5. Sirvys P. 50. Vidmar L. 25. Karic S. 22. Milec M. (C) 20. Repas Z. 15. Repas J. 10. Barisic M. 72. Ilicic J. 8. Bozic M. 13. Beugre E.	21. Popescu L. (G) 2. Vladoiu S. 3. Maldonado D. 26. Zajkov G. 11. Bancu N. 4. Cretu A. 5. Mekvabishvili A. 17. Mora C. 28. Mitrita A. 7. Paradela L. 9. Ivan A.
Substitutes
81. Bergsen M. (G) 35. Bilac M. 21. Borys K. 11. Bourles R. 48. Dizdarevic A. 7. Feta B. 16. Grlic N. 17. Jakupovic A. 55. Lorber M. 6. Mbondo B. 59. Pridgar S. (G) 12. Sikosek G.	15. Badelj J. 10. Baiaram S. 31. Bana S. 27. Barbu D. 23. Capatina M. 36. Gaspar F. 14. Houri L. 19. Koljic E. 33. Lung S. Jr. (G) 12. Ndong B. 8. Oshima T. 25. Sierra G.
Coaches
Simundza A.	Galca C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Maldonado D. 🟥,
36', Mora C. ↓, Badelj J. ↑,
42', Paradela L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Paradela L. ↓, Oshima T. ↑,
52', Sirvys P. 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Repas J. ⚽, Repas Z. (A),
59', Barisic M. ↓, Jakupovic A. ↑,
59', Ivan A. ↓, Koljic E. ↑,
73', Bozic M. ↓, Borys K. ↑,
73', Karic S. ↓, Mbondo B. ↑,
82', Sirvys P. ↓, Sikosek G. ↑,
83', Cretu A. ↓, Baiaram S. ↑,
83', Vladoiu S. ↓, Capatina M. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Jakupovic A. ⚽, Milec M. (A),

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Universitatea Craiova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Maribor have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Maribor
Slovenian PrvaLiga
21.07.24	Maribor - Domžale	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
18.07.24	Maribor - Botev Plovdiv	2:2 ✺
11.07.24	Botev Plovdiv - Maribor	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.24	Maribor - CSKA 1948 Sofia	2:1 ✺
04.07.24	Maribor - Rapid Bucureşti	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTLWL
- CS Universitatea Craiova
Romanian SuperLiga
20.07.24	Universitatea Craiova - UTA Arad	4:2 ✺
12.07.24	Hermannstadt - Universitatea Craiova	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.06.24	St. Gallen - Universitatea Craiova	2:1 ✺
29.06.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Universitatea Craiova	4:1 ✺
24.06.24	Universitatea Craiova - Legia Warsaw	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLLW

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