Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova)

Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Portugal	Canal 11
Romania	Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Universitatea Craiova		Levski Sofia

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.30	3.75	Watch
	2.10	3.25	3.70
	1.94	3.30	3.85	Watch
	2.12	3.16	3.71
	2.08	3.3	3.74	Watch
	2.10	3.05	3.65
	2.03	3.35	3.81	Watch
	2.08	3.25	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.26)	3.25 ↓ (3.4)	3.74 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitatea Craiova
45.8%

Draw
29%

Levski Sofia
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

27.8%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

27.9%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitatea Craiova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Levski Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Levski Sofia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levski Sofia than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Levski Sofia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.5%	20%	2.5%

Universitatea Craiova - Levski Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Uni Craiova will win (votes: 31 - 77.5%). Levski will win (votes: 1 - 2.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Craiova: 64.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Universitatea Craiova will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Popescu L. (G) 24. Stevanovic N. 28. Rus A. 6. Screciu V. 17. Mora C. 20. Cicaldau A. 5. Mekvabishvili A. 11. Bancu N. (C) 30. Matei D. 7. Nsimba S. 10. Baiaram S.	92. Vutsov S. (G) 21. Neves A. 50. Dimitrov K. (C) 31. Serafimov N. 3. Maicon 47. Bouras A. 19. Moubarik M. 35. Serginho 11. Oko-Flex A. 17. Everton Bala 7. Reinaldo
Substitutes
15. Badelj J. 8. Baluta T. 29. Basceanu L. 4. Cretu A. 22. Elisor S. 12. Etim M. 19. Heriberto Tavares 1. Maxim A. (G) 38. Muntean D. 18. Radulescu M. 90. Sava R. (G) 23. Teles	20. Centelles A. 27. Kusso D. 78. Lukov M. (G) 4. Makoun C. 10. Mitkov A. 9. Perea J. 77. Raychev A. 12. Sangare M. 22. Soula M. 28. Stoyanchov S. 18. Trdin G. 1. Vladimirov O. (G)
Coaches
Coelho F.	Velazquez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', Serafimov N. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Everton Bala ⚽, Serginho (A),
16', 0 - 2, Neves A. ⚽, Everton Bala (A),
26', Neves A. 🟨,
33', Baiaram S. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 2, Bancu N. ⚽, Matei D. (A),
45+3', Maicon 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Serafimov N. ↓, Makoun C. ↑,
46', Neves A. ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
48', 2 - 2, Rus A. ⚽,
55', Everton Bala 🟨,
55', Oko-Flex A. ↓, Soula M. ↑,
59', Mora C. ↓, Teles ↑,
59', Baiaram S. ↓, Etim M. ↑,
67', Stevanovic N. ↓, Baluta T. ↑,
77', Everton Bala ↓, Trdin G. ↑,
78', Matei D. ↓, Heriberto Tavares ↑,
78', Mekvabishvili A. ↓, Elisor S. ↑,
87', Reinaldo ↓, Perea J. ↑,
88', Rus A. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 0-1.

Uni Craiova has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Levski is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Uni Craiova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Uni Craiova is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uni Craiova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Universitatea Craiova - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.79%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Universitatea Craiova
Romanian SuperLiga
25.07.26	FC Dinamo Bucureşti - Universitatea Craiova	5:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.07.26	Levski Sofia - Universitatea Craiova	1:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
18.07.26	Universitatea Craiova - UTA Arad	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.07.26	Universitatea Craiova - ML Vitebsk	1:0 ✺
Romanian Super Cup
12.07.26	Universitatea Craiova - Universitatea Cluj	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWW
- Levski Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.07.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - Levski Sofia	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.07.26	Levski Sofia - Universitatea Craiova	1:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
17.07.26	Levski Sofia - Dunav Ruse	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.07.26	Levski Sofia - Borac Banja Luka	4:0 ✺
07.07.26	Borac Banja Luka - Levski Sofia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
22.07.26	Levski Sofia - Universitatea Craiova	1:0

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