Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova)

Referee: Sakhi D. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	MY TV
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV


	Universitatea Craiova		Sarajevo

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	5.75	Watch
	1.58	3.7	5.25	Watch
	1.52	4	5.5	Watch
	1.59	3.94	4.91
	1.54	4.28	5.37	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.1
	1.6	4.19	5.67	Watch
	1.46	3.81	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.46)	3.88 ↑ (3.69)	5.17 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitatea Craiova
57.7%

Draw
24.2%

Sarajevo
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

24.1%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

23.4%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitatea Craiova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Sarajevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarajevo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.5%	7.7%	3.8%

Universitatea Craiova - Sarajevo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

TQ, OT - Uni Craiova (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -2.5 - Uni Craiova (4.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Sarajevo (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Universitatea Craiova will win (22 of 25 users predict this - 88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.26% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Universitatea Craiova will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Craiova (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Sarajevo (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Isenko P. (G) 19. Mogos V. 6. Screciu V. 3. Romanchuk O. 17. Mora C. 23. Teles 8. Baluta T. 20. Cicaldau A. 11. Bancu N. (C) 9. Al Hamlawi A. 10. Baiaram S.	31. Banic I. (G) 22. Beganovic A. 33. Ristovski S. 5. Turda G. 16. Jovic F. 77. Kupresak M. 8. Mlinaric M. 21. Jatta M. 11. Kyeremeh F. 10. Renan Oliveira 7. Guliashvili G. (C)
Substitutes
15. Badelj J. 27. Barbu D. 29. Basceanu L. 4. Cretu A. 14. Houri L. 1. Lung S. Jr. (G) 16. Markovic J. 30. Matei D. 5. Mekvabishvili A. 12. Ndong B. 18. Radulescu M. 24. Stevanovic N.	28. Bralic S. 35. Ceric A. 14. Djordjevic A. 20. Elezi A. 27. Hamzic M. 25. Kapetanovic T. 40. Mehic F. (G) 13. Musija S. (G) 44. Paskalev M. 9. Turkes A. 55. Vrban K.
Coaches
Radoi M.	Zekic Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Jatta M. 🟨,
33', Teles 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
47', Kyeremeh F. 🟨,
51', 1 - 0, Al Hamlawi A. ⚽, Teles (A),
55', Jatta M. ↓, Bralic S. ↑,
55', Renan Oliveira ↓, Elezi A. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Baiaram S. ⚽, Mora C. (A),
74', Kupresak M. ↓, Djordjevic A. ↑,
74', Jovic F. ↓, Turkes A. ↑,
75', Bralic S. 🟨,
76', Baluta T. ↓, Mekvabishvili A. ↑,
76', Cicaldau A. ↓, Cretu A. ↑,
76', Baiaram S. ↓, Houri L. ↑,
79', 3 - 0, Al Hamlawi A. ⚽, Cretu A. (A),
83', 4 - 0, Al Hamlawi A. ⚽, Mora C. (A),
84', Screciu V. ↓, Badelj J. ↑,
84', Al Hamlawi A. ↓, Markovic J. ↑,
84', Guliashvili G. 🟨,
86', Isenko P. 🟨,
90+2', Houri L. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.

Uni Craiova is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sarajevo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Uni Craiova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Uni Craiova is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uni Craiova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Universitatea Craiova
Romanian SuperLiga
28.07.25	Universitatea Craiova - Universitatea Cluj	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Sarajevo - Universitatea Craiova	2:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
18.07.25	Universitatea Craiova - Argeș Pitești	3:1 ✺
12.07.25	UTA Arad - Universitatea Craiova	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.25	Universitatea Craiova - MTK Budapest	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWTW
- FK Sarajevo
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Sarajevo - Universitatea Craiova	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.25	Zorya Luhansk - Sarajevo	0:0 ✺
12.07.25	Sarajevo - Varaždin	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	Sarajevo - Slovácko	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	Novi Pazar - Sarajevo	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Sarajevo - Universitatea Craiova	2:1

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