Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova)

Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Turkey	Tabii, TRT 1
Uzbekistan	Zor TV
World	Onefootball


	Universitatea Craiova		İstanbul Başakşehir

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.35	Watch
	2.65	3.4	2.3
	2.68	3.35	2.38	Watch
	2.73	3.54	2.41
	2.78	3.49	2.36	Watch
	3	3.3	2.25	Watch
	2.79	3.5	2.52	Watch
	2.89	3.13	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (2.88)	3.39 ↑ (3.12)	2.36 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitatea Craiova
33.2%

Draw
27.4%

İstanbul Başakşehir
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

29.1%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

29.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitatea Craiova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.6%	23.1%	42.3%

Universitatea Craiova - İstanbul Başakşehir Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Uni Craiova will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 11 - 44%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 24.5% – 63.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Craiova (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Başakşehir (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Uni Craiova (1.87) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Uni Craiova (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Craiova (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Başakşehir (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Isenko P. (G) 3. Romanchuk O. 6. Screciu V. 15. Badelj J. 17. Mora C. 23. Teles 8. Baluta T. 20. Cicaldau A. 11. Bancu N. (C) 9. Al Hamlawi A. 10. Baiaram S.	1. Babacan V. (C) 36. Ebosele F. 27. Ba O. 3. Opoku J. 21. Operi C. 4. Ergun O. 2. Ozdemir B. 13. Crespo M. 14. Shomurodov E. 9. Selke D. 77. Brnic I.
Substitutes
27. Barbu D. 29. Basceanu L. 4. Cretu A. 14. Houri L. 1. Lung S. Jr. (G) 30. Matei D. 5. Mekvabishvili A. 19. Mogos V. 39. Nsimba S. 18. Radulescu M. 2. Stefan F. 24. Stevanovic N.	17. Beyaz O. 10. Da Costa N. 98. Dilmen D. (G) 11. Fayzullaev A. 20. Gunes U. 15. Gureler H. 8. Kemen O. 7. Sari Y. 23. Turuc D.
Coaches
Radoi M.	Atan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Selke D. ⚽, Operi C. (A),
9', 1 - 1, Cicaldau A. ⚽, Bancu N. (A),
20', Baluta T. 🟨,
27', 2 - 1, Baiaram S. ⚽, Bancu N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Crespo M. ↓, Kemen O. ↑,
47', Turuc D. 🟨,
54', Shomurodov E. 🟨,
54', Selke D. 🟨,
54', Badelj J. 🟨,
63', Ergun O. ↓, Fayzullaev A. ↑,
63', Ozdemir B. ↓, Gunes U. ↑,
63', Bancu N. 🟨,
73', Selke D. ↓, Da Costa N. ↑,
77', Baiaram S. ↓, Nsimba S. ↑,
77', Cicaldau A. ↓, Mekvabishvili A. ↑,
80', Operi C. 🟨,
80', Operi C. 🟨,
81', Brnic I. ↓, Sari Y. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Nsimba S. ⚽, Mekvabishvili A. (A),
90+1', Gunes U. 🟨,
90+2', Teles ↓, Cretu A. ↑,
90+4', Baluta T. ↓, Houri L. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.

Uni Craiova is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Başakşehir's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Başakşehir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Başakşehir has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uni Craiova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

İstanbul Başakşehir - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.33%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Universitatea Craiova
Romanian SuperLiga
24.08.25	Universitatea Craiova - Petrolul Ploieşti	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Universitatea Craiova	1:2 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
17.08.25	Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc - Universitatea Craiova	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Spartak Trnava - Universitatea Craiova	4:3 ET ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
10.08.25	Universitatea Craiova - Hermannstadt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWLW
- İstanbul Başakşehir
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Universitatea Craiova	1:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
17.08.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Viking Stavanger	1:1 ✺
07.08.25	Viking Stavanger - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:3 ✺
31.07.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Cherno More Varna	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Universitatea Craiova	1:2

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