Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium (Istanbul) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Xhaja J. (Alb)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Turkey	20:45	Tabii, TRT 1


	İstanbul Başakşehir		Universitatea Craiova

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	4.75	Watch
	1.65	3.7	4.6
	1.65	3.7	4.95	Watch
	1.64	3.82	5.17
	1.66	3.86	4.48	Watch
	1.67	4.04	5.16	Watch
	1.71	3.8	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 (1.66)	3.83 ↓ (3.86)	4.82 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbul Başakşehir
56.3%

Draw
24.4%

Universitatea Craiova
19.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.5%

23.9%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

22.2%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Universitatea Craiova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	5.3%	15.8%

İstanbul Başakşehir - Universitatea Craiova Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Uni Craiova (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

1X2, 1st Half - draw (5.07) (votes: 0 - 0%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1 - Uni Craiova (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: İstanbul Başakşehir will win (30 of 37 users predict this - 81.08%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.46% – 93.7%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Uni Craiova (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sengezer M. (G) 6. Bulut O. 5. Duarte L. (C) 27. Ba O. 21. Operi C. 2. Ozdemir B. 23. Turuc D. 13. Crespo M. 17. Beyaz O. 14. Shomurodov E. 10. Da Costa N.	77. Isenko P. (G) 3. Romanchuk O. 6. Screciu V. 15. Badelj J. 17. Mora C. 23. Teles 8. Baluta T. 20. Cicaldau A. 11. Bancu N. (C) 9. Al Hamlawi A. 10. Baiaram S.
Substitutes
1. Babacan V. (G) 77. Brnic I. 98. Dilmen D. (G) 36. Ebosele F. 4. Ergun O. 11. Fayzullaev A. 20. Gunes U. 15. Gureler H. 3. Opoku J. 9. Selke D.	27. Barbu D. 29. Basceanu L. 4. Cretu A. 14. Houri L. 1. Lung S. Jr. (G) 30. Matei D. 5. Mekvabishvili A. 19. Mogos V. 39. Nsimba S. 18. Radulescu M. 2. Stefan F. 24. Stevanovic N.
Coaches
Atan C.	Radoi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', Isenko P. 🟨,
45', Duarte L. ↓, Opoku J. ↑,
45+2', 0 - 1, Cicaldau A. ⚽, Al Hamlawi A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Beyaz O. ↓, Brnic I. ↑,
58', Romanchuk O. 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Mora C. ⚽, Romanchuk O. (A),
62', Sengezer M. 🟨,
72', Baiaram S. ↓, Nsimba S. ↑,
76', Bancu N. 🟨,
77', Turuc D. ↓, Fayzullaev A. ↑,
83', Crespo M. ↓, Gunes U. ↑,
83', Bulut O. ↓, Ebosele F. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Ebosele F. ⚽,
89', Teles ↓, Mekvabishvili A. ↑,
90', Cicaldau A. 🟨,
90+3', Cicaldau A. ↓, Cretu A. ↑,
90+4', Ozdemir B. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Başakşehir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Başakşehir is the team to beat.

We predict that Başakşehir will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League
17.08.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Viking Stavanger	1:1 ✺
07.08.25	Viking Stavanger - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:3 ✺
31.07.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Cherno More Varna	4:0 ✺
24.07.25	Cherno More Varna - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWWW
- CS Universitatea Craiova
Romanian SuperLiga
17.08.25	Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc - Universitatea Craiova	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Spartak Trnava - Universitatea Craiova	4:3 ET ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
10.08.25	Universitatea Craiova - Hermannstadt	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Universitatea Craiova - Spartak Trnava	3:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
03.08.25	CFR Cluj - Universitatea Craiova	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWW

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