Match Info

Division 1 - Round 23

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday

Location: Carlisle Grounds (Bray)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bray Wanderers		University College Dublin

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.40	2.70
	2.12	3.50	2.80
	2.36	3.74	2.86
	2.25	3.56	2.77	Watch
	2.30	3.70	2.75
	2.26	3.44	2.73
	2.26	3.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.12)	3.54 ↓ (3.76)	2.77 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bray Wanderers
40.8%

Draw
25.9%

University College Dublin
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

24.5%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

24.1%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bray Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

University College Dublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bray Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for University College Dublin than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Bray Wanderers - University College Dublin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Corcoran J. (C) 2. Kizenga A. 12. Osagie D. 27. O'Shea D. 3. Fagbemi B. 10. Ferizaj R. 6. Sesay J. B. 17. Doyle C. 15. Kelly R. 11. Achara I. 9. Ring D.	1. Kavanagh D. (G) 2. Murphy S. 3. Cailloce L. 4. Clancy E. (C) 7. McCullagh M. 31. Mohan S. 8. Dignam L. 22. Morley T. 40. Smith H. 6. Wells A. 10. Behan C.
Substitutes
30. Cheese E. 4. Duggan J. 13. Hogan R. (G) 7. Knight C. 21. Mustali E. 23. Ryan J. 20. Sammy T. 33. Shelley B. 16. Tucker K.	12. Alonge M. 19. Bolton C. 17. Cailloce K. 14. Curtis H. 16. Douglas N. (G) 13. Goad J. 25. Lavin G. 9. Raggett M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Achara I. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Achara I. ⚽,
45+1', McCullagh M. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', 3 - 0, Kelly R. ⚽,
51', 4 - 0, Achara I. ⚽,
52', Sesay J. B. ↓, Ryan J. ↑,
56', Wells A. ↓, Alonge M. ↑,
56', Smith H. ↓, Cailloce K. ↑,
56', Mohan S. ↓, Curtis H. ↑,
65', Ferizaj R. ↓, Sammy T. ↑,
65', Kelly R. ↓, Tucker K. ↑,
72', Behan C. ↓, Lavin G. ↑,
75', 5 - 0, Ring D. ⚽,
77', Kizenga A. ↓, Duggan J. ↑,
77', Ring D. ↓, Mustali E. ↑,
86', 6 - 0, Mustali E. ⚽,
88', Lavin G. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bray Wanderers won 4.

Bray Wanderers is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

UCD's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bray Wanderers will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bray Wanderers won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bray Wanderers won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bray	34	15	8	11	65:49	16	53
3	UC Dublin	34	15	7	12	61:48	13	52

Last Results with these Odds

Bray Wanderers - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.38%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bray Wanderers
Irish Division 1
03.07.26	Bray Wanderers - Athlone Town	1:0 ✺
26.06.26	Cork City - Bray Wanderers	2:0 ✺
19.06.26	Bray Wanderers - Longford Town	5:2 ✺
12.06.26	Treaty United - Bray Wanderers	2:2 ✺
29.05.26	Bray Wanderers - Wexford	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWTW
- University College Dublin
Irish Division 1
04.07.26	Longford Town - University College Dublin	2:1 ✺
26.06.26	University College Dublin - Cobh Ramblers	2:0 ✺
19.06.26	University College Dublin - Kerry	0:1 ✺
12.06.26	Finn Harps - University College Dublin	0:5 ✺
29.05.26	University College Dublin - Athlone Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
15.05.26	University College Dublin - Bray Wanderers	3:4
13.03.26	Bray Wanderers - University College Dublin	2:1
28.10.25	Bray Wanderers - University College Dublin	3:2
24.10.25	University College Dublin - Bray Wanderers	0:1
29.08.25	University College Dublin - Bray Wanderers	3:2
23.06.25	Bray Wanderers - University College Dublin	1:3
21.04.25	Bray Wanderers - University College Dublin	2:0

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