Match Info

Division 1 - Round 20

Date: 19 June 2026, Friday

Location: UCD Bowl (Dublin)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	LOI TV


	University College Dublin		Kerry

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.50	4.50
	1.7	3.55	4.45
	1.75	3.65	4.9
	1.7	3.52	4.65	Watch
	1.7	3.3	4.5
	1.7	3.5	4.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.77)	3.5 ↑ (3.48)	4.57 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

University College Dublin
53.9%

Draw
26.1%

Kerry
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

26.3%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

26.8%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

University College Dublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Kerry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for University College Dublin than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

University College Dublin - Kerry Predictions

Users Predictions: University College Dublin will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kavanagh D. (G) 26. O'Regan L. 4. Clancy E. (C) 5. Lennox C. 2. Murphy S. 8. Dignam L. 6. Wells A. 22. Morley T. 17. Cailloce K. 11. Smith H. 7. McCullagh M.	1. Connor M. (G) 18. Aladesanusi S. 14. Hakkinen J. 28. Brookwell N. (C) 11. Okwute D. 29. Lee E. 24. Borden V. 23. Perez R. 3. O'Connell S. 17. Brosnan C. 10. Murphy C.
Substitutes
15. Akinrintayo C. 12. Alonge M. 10. Behan C. 19. Bolton C. 3. Cailloce L. 16. Douglas N. (G) 31. Mohan S. 21. Ogbonna G. 9. Raggett M.	19. Bermingham B. 26. Britton M. 34. Keane R. 15. Koufie E. 40. Mangan H. (G) 37. McCormack C. 21. Palmer L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Brosnan C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Okwute D. ↓, Keane R. ↑,
61', McCullagh M. ↓, Mohan S. ↑,
61', O'Regan L. ↓, Behan C. ↑,
62', Cailloce K. ↓, Akinrintayo C. ↑,
70', Behan C. 🟨,
75', Wells A. ↓, Ogbonna G. ↑,
77', Perez R. ↓, Palmer L. ↑,
77', Brosnan C. ↓, Britton M. ↑,
86', Lennox C. ↓, Raggett M. ↑,
90', Murphy C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UCD won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, UCD is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, UCD won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, UCD won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	UC Dublin	34	15	7	12	61:48	13	52
6	Kerry	34	13	9	12	42:40	2	48

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- University College Dublin
Irish Division 1
12.06.26	Finn Harps - University College Dublin	0:5 ✺
29.05.26	University College Dublin - Athlone Town	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Wexford - University College Dublin	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	University College Dublin - Bray Wanderers	3:4 ✺
08.05.26	Cork City - University College Dublin	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLLL
- Kerry FC Ireland
Irish Division 1
12.06.26	Kerry - Athlone Town	1:0 ✺
29.05.26	Cobh Ramblers - Kerry	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Kerry - Bray Wanderers	2:2 ✺
15.05.26	Kerry - Wexford	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Finn Harps - Kerry	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
10.04.26	Kerry - University College Dublin	1:1
13.02.26	University College Dublin - Kerry	2:1
19.09.25	University College Dublin - Kerry	2:1
25.07.25	Kerry - University College Dublin	0:3
02.05.25	University College Dublin - Kerry	0:1
28.03.25	Kerry - University College Dublin	0:1
30.08.24	Kerry - University College Dublin	0:1

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