Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NSW League One - Round 16

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday


	University of New South Wales		Nepean

	1	X	2
	1.44	5	5.24
	1.44	5	5.24
	1.44	4.4	4.75
	1.41	4.8	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.82)	4.8 ↑ (4)	5.21 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

University of New South Wales
63.6%

Draw
19%

Nepean
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

22.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

22%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

University of New South Wales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in University of New South Wales's performance.

Nepean has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nepean might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for University of New South Wales than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with University of New South Wales that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nepean than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nepean could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

University of New South Wales - Nepean Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches UNSW is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nepean has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nepean could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Nepean have a series of home games.

In this match UNSW is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- University of New South Wales FC
Australian NSW League One
18.05.24	Dulwich Hill - University of New South Wales	2:4 ✺
11.05.24	University of New South Wales - Bonnyrigg White Eagles	1:3 ✺
04.05.24	University of New South Wales - Bulls Academy	4:3 ✺
27.04.24	University of New South Wales - Hakoah Sydney City East	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Canterbury Bankstown - University of New South Wales	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 WLWWL
- Nepean FC
Australian NSW League One
17.05.24	Nepean - Rydalmere Lions	1:3 ✺
07.05.24	Nepean - Hakoah Sydney City East	0:4 ✺
03.05.24	Nepean - Canterbury Bankstown	0:1 ✺
26.04.24	Nepean - Bankstown City Lions	0:1 ✺
19.04.24	Nepean - Northern Tigers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

University of New South Wales - Nepean: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide