Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: Nedbank Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 April 2024, Friday

Location: Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium (Pretoria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport


	University of Pretoria		Mamelodi Sundowns

	1	X	2
	8.25	4.6	1.29
	10	4.75	1.3
	10.1	4.93	1.28
	10.1	4.93	1.28
	10	4.75	1.22
	11	5	1.27
	9.2	4.7	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.81 ↑ (7.89)	4.81 ↑ (4.13)	1.28 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

University of Pretoria
9.3%

Draw
19%

Mamelodi Sundowns
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

22.1%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

19.1%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

University of Pretoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mamelodi Sundowns's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for University of Pretoria than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mamelodi Sundowns, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maova E. (G) 14. Mahlangu T. 24. Gum S. 15. Majadibodu H. 4. Langa S. 21. Marebane K. 23. Julies S. (C) 20. Mvambi A. 3. Abrahams D. 19. Mpedi S. 28. Pheeane K.	30. Williams R. (G) 20. Kekana G. 34. Mvala M. 17. Modiba A. 11. Allende M. 19. Aubaas B. J. 4. Mokoena T. 35. Maema N. 27. Morena T. 18. Zwane T. (C) 23. Costa L.
Substitutes
25. Dlamini A. (G) 37. Makara T. 17. Makungo T. 11. Mohlamonyane T. 12. Mokoena T. 27. Nkogatse K. 35. Seanego M. 7. Sekotlong T. 26. Tonisi A.	9. Esquivel M. 45. Lorch T. 22. Mabena S. 33. Maseko T. 31. Nkosi N. 6. Onyango B. 1. Onyango D. (G) 38. Shalulile P. 10. Sirino G.
Coaches
Motaung T.	Mokwena R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Costa L. ⚽,
31', Kekana G. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Abrahams D. ⚽, Pheeane K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Morena T. ↓, Lorch T. ↑,
62', Maema N. ↓, Sirino G. ↑,
69', Gum S. 🟨,
70', Mvambi A. ↓, Tonisi A. ↑,
75', Gum S. ↓, Makara T. ↑,
75', Marebane K. ↓, Mokoena T. ↑,
80', Zwane T. ↓, Mabena S. ↑,
80', Modiba A. ↓, Shalulile P. ↑,
90+3', Allende M. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
96', Aubaas B. J. 🟨,
98', Julies S. ↓, Sekotlong T. ↑,
105', Pheeane K. ↓, Makungo T. ↑,
110', Kekana G. ↓, Maseko T. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Mokoena T. (Pen),
1, Allende M. (Pen),
2, Sekotlong T. (Pen),
2, Sirino G. (Pen),
3, Mpedi S. (Pen),
3, Costa L. (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches University of Pretoria won 0.

Both teams in the last matches got series of victories.

Mamelodi Sundowns could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mamelodi Sundowns is certain favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches University of Pretoria won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-14.

Including matches at home between the teams University of Pretoria won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- University of Pretoria FC
South African First Division
05.04.24	Casric Stars - University of Pretoria	0:1 ✺
02.04.24	University of Pretoria - Milford	1:0 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
13.03.24	University of Pretoria - Moroka Swallows	2:1 ✺
South African First Division
08.03.24	University of Pretoria - Hungry Lions	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Platinum City Rovers - University of Pretoria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWT
- Mamelodi Sundowns
South African Premier Soccer League
09.04.24	Cape Town Spurs - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
05.04.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Young Africans	1:0 penalties ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
02.04.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Richards Bay	1:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
30.03.24	Young Africans - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
17.03.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Durban City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
04.05.16	University of Pretoria - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:3
16.01.16	Mamelodi Sundowns - University of Pretoria	2:1
09.05.15	Mamelodi Sundowns - University of Pretoria	1:0
13.12.14	University of Pretoria - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:1
30.03.14	Mamelodi Sundowns - University of Pretoria	2:1
09.11.13	University of Pretoria - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:3
17.04.13	Mamelodi Sundowns - University of Pretoria	1:1

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