Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 26

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday


	União Lamas		Marco 09

	1	X	2
	5.75	4	1.44
	3.85	3.65	1.77
	5.07	3.66	1.59
	3.85	3.65	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↑ (3.55)	3.74 ↑ (3.55)	1.64 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Lamas
19.8%

Draw
24.5%

Marco 09
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Lamas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that União Lamas's form might have worsened.

Marco 09 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marco 09's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Lamas than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marco 09, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

União Lamas - Marco 09 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Marco will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Marco (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Marco (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Marco (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Guimaraes B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 🟥,
90+7', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Recent matches União Lamas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marco is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

União Lamas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Marco is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches União Lamas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF União Lamas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.04.25	Camacha - União Lamas	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	União Lamas - Régua	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Leça - União Lamas	4:2 ✺
09.03.25	União Lamas - Beira-Mar	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Machico - União Lamas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLW
- AD Marco 09
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.04.25	Marco 09 - Gondomar	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Marítimo B - Marco 09	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Marco 09 - Cinfães	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Coimbrões - Marco 09	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Alpendorada - Marco 09	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.01.25	Marco 09 - União Lamas	1:0

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