Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 22

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Coimbrões		Marco 09

	1	X	2
	7	3.8	1.41
	5	3	1.76
	3.99	3.81	1.74
	4.17	3.42	1.77
	5	3	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.03 ↓ (6.79)	3.41 ↓ (3.75)	1.69 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coimbrões
18.3%

Draw
27.1%

Marco 09
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

24.2%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

23.7%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coimbrões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Marco 09 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marco 09 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coimbrões than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coimbrões that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marco 09 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Coimbrões - Marco 09 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Ze Diogo ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Coimbrões is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Marco is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Marco is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Coimbrões won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coimbrões
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.03.25	Camacha - Coimbrões	3:2 ✺
23.02.25	Coimbrões - Régua	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Leça - Coimbrões	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Coimbrões - Beira-Mar	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Machico - Coimbrões	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLTL
- AD Marco 09
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.03.25	Alpendorada - Marco 09	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Marco 09 - Camacha	4:1 ✺
16.02.25	Régua - Marco 09	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Marco 09 - Leça	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Beira-Mar - Marco 09	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.11.24	Marco 09 - Coimbrões	0:1

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