Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 14

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday


	União Suzano		EC São Bernardo

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.9	2.3
	3.1	3	2.26
	3.03	3.01	2.25
	3.05	3.08	2.3	Watch
	3.03	3.04	2.27
	3.1	3	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.46)	3.01 ↓ (3.04)	2.27 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Suzano
29.9%

Draw
30.2%

EC São Bernardo
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

29.9%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

31.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Suzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that União Suzano's form might have worsened.

EC São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting EC São Bernardo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Suzano than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União Suzano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for EC São Bernardo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

União Suzano - EC São Bernardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

União Suzano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches União Suzano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.3:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams União Suzano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Suzano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
04.03.25	Rio Branco de Americana - União Suzano	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	União Suzano - Francana	3:0 ✺
26.02.25	Bandeirante - União Suzano	3:0 ✺
22.02.25	Itapirense - União Suzano	2:0 ✺
19.02.25	União Suzano - Marília	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWLLW
- EC São Bernardo
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
05.03.25	EC São Bernardo - Lemense FC	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Comercial SP - EC São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
26.02.25	Sertãozinho - EC São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	EC São Bernardo - Bandeirante	1:1 ✺
19.02.25	EC São Bernardo - União São João	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
27.07.24	EC São Bernardo - União Suzano	2:0
23.06.24	União Suzano - EC São Bernardo	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
21.02.24	EC São Bernardo - União Suzano	2:0

União Suzano - EC São Bernardo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide