Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 23

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	União de Coimbra		Os Marialvas

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	2.47	3.1	2.7
	2.48	3.02	2.66
	2.47	3.1	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (3.84)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	2.58 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União de Coimbra
35.5%

Draw
29.4%

Os Marialvas
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

29.3%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

28.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União de Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in União de Coimbra's performance.

Os Marialvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Os Marialvas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Coimbra than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with União de Coimbra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Os Marialvas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

União de Coimbra - Os Marialvas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 1 - 0, ⚽,
83', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 5).

União de Coimbra is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Marialvas is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Marialvas is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches União de Coimbra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Coimbra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.03.25	Mortágua - União de Coimbra	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	União de Coimbra - Arronches Benfica	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Elvas - União de Coimbra	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	União de Coimbra - Fatima	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Pero Pinheiro - União de Coimbra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLLLT
- CF Os Marialvas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.03.25	Os Marialvas - Marinhense	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Peniche - Os Marialvas	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Os Marialvas - SB Castelo Branco	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Alcains - Os Marialvas	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Os Marialvas - Pombal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
30.11.24	Os Marialvas - União de Coimbra	4:1

União de Coimbra - Os Marialvas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide