Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 21

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday


	União de Coimbra		Arronches Benfica

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.37	2.82	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (6.07)	2.96 ↓ (3.8)	2.98 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União de Coimbra
38.9%

Draw
30.7%

Arronches Benfica
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

23.9%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

23.4%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União de Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in União de Coimbra's performance.

Arronches Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-30.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arronches Benfica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Coimbra than the current prediction. (-24.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with União de Coimbra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arronches Benfica than the current prediction. (+31.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arronches Benfica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

União de Coimbra - Arronches Benfica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

União de Coimbra is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arronches Benfica in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

União de Coimbra could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Arronches Benfica is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches União de Coimbra won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Coimbra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
22.02.25	Elvas - União de Coimbra	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	União de Coimbra - Fatima	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Pero Pinheiro - União de Coimbra	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	União de Coimbra - Alverca B	1:4 ✺
26.01.25	Sertanense - União de Coimbra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLTLW
- Arronches Benfica
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
23.02.25	Arronches Benfica - Marinhense	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Peniche - Arronches Benfica	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Arronches Benfica - SB Castelo Branco	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Alcains - Arronches Benfica	2:3 ✺
26.01.25	Arronches Benfica - Os Marialvas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
03.11.24	Arronches Benfica - União de Coimbra	1:1

União de Coimbra - Arronches Benfica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide